This
paper gives a detailed exposition of Hyman
Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis
which takes the US financial system as
its reference structure and provides a
historical account of financial sector
evolution and regulatory changes in the
US in the run up to the current crisis.
In Minsky’s approach, fragility is inherent
in the successful operation of the capitalist
economic system, and results from changes
in the liquidity preferences of bankers
and businessmen for a given degree of
maturity mismatching. While financial
fragility is independent of financial
regulation, regulation may play a role
in the rate of propagation of fragility,
or in preventing the transformation of
fragility into major instability such
as the one that occurred during the Great
Depression. Given that the current crisis
appears to be similar to that which led
to the breakdown of the financial system
through debt deflation in the 1930s, a
similar remedy in the form of a Reconstruction
Finance Corporation and re-regulation
of the financial system are called for.
June 15, 2009. |
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