This
paper departs from the assumption prevalent
in existing empirical literature that
remittances are used either to increase
consumption or to increase investment
in developing countries. Instead, the
present investigation demonstrates that
a significant portion of remittances is
no longer available for domestic resource
mobilization when they are used for debt
servicing, capital flight, or reserve
accumulation (reverse flows). Empirical
results obtained by employing Pooled Mean
Group (PMG) approach on a panel of 36
developing countries over the period 1980
to 2006 finds that a one per cent increase
in the rate of remittance flows increased
the rate of consumption by roughly 0.8%,
and had no statistically discernable effect
on the rate of investment. These results
also indicate that approximately 20% to
27% of remittance flows have been diverted
to finance reverse flows. Moreover, changes
in the rate of remittance flows tended
to be positively correlated with changes
in debt service payment-to-income ratios
and the rate of reserve accumulation relative
to income.
December 24, 2010. |
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