During
the height of the Global Financial Crisis in 2008,
President Nicolas Sarkozy of France was seen carrying
around a copy of ''Capital'' by Karl Marx. Maybe he
should now pick up a copy of another book (''Anti-Duhring'')
by Marx's collaborator Friedrich Engels. In this book
Engels made a persuasive argument about the anarchic
nature of capitalism.
''Anarchy reigns in socialised production. But the
production of commodities, like every other form of
production, has its peculiar, inherent laws inseparable
from it; and these laws work, despite anarchy, in
and through anarchy. They reveal themselves in the
only persistent form of social interrelations, i.e.,
in exchange, and here they affect the individual producers
as compulsory laws of competition. They are, at first,
unknown to these producers themselves, and have to
be discovered by them gradually and as the result
of experience. They work themselves out, therefore,
independently of the producers, and in antagonism
to them, as inexorable natural laws of their particular
form of production. The product governs the producers.''
(http://www.marxists.org/archive/marx/works/1877-ad/p3.htm)
This anarchy was said to exist within capitalist enterprises,
between different types of capitalist enterprises,
and within the system as a whole, creating tendencies
of disproportionality between sectors, periodic overproduction
and crises. More than 150 years later, obviously the
nature of such capitalist anarchy has undergone much
transformation. But it certainly still exists, and
is revealed today in the anarchy that prevails between
different types of capital - mainly between finance
capital and productive capital - as well as in the
contradictions between different capitalist countries
(which is popularly referred to as global macroeconomic
imbalances). It operates to create markets that seem
to be beyond anyone's control, which deliver undesirable
and volatile outcomes that seem to be in no one's
interests and yet cannot be altered.
So we have a peculiar global situation in which global
leaders seem to be at their wits' end in controlling
a market system run amok, in which all their efforts
at damage control and enabling recovery end up having
the opposite effect of creating more havoc and instability.
Increasingly in the core centres of the global economy,
whether in the US or the eurozone, the argument seems
to be ''we adopted Keynesian policies, but they have
not stabilised the economy or delivered employment
growth''.
This is misleading. In fact the stimulus measures
adopted in most countries were not weighted in favour
of employment generation: a disproportionate amount
went as bailouts and support to large financial institutions
that simply used the resources to clean up their balance
sheets. In the US, very little of the money went into
direct state spending on activities that directly
increase employment or have high multiplier effects.
Social spending and government employment have fallen
as local governments have been strapped for cash;
small businesses have been starved of bank credit;
there has been no systematic attempt to address the
continuing problem of foreclosures in residential
housing markets. And now, even these half-hearted
and slipshod stimulus measures are to be clawed back
with the new focus on fiscal austerity.
In Europe, too, the direction of macroeconomic policies
is all wrong. The imbalances in the eurozone are being
dealt with in a counterproductive manner - forcing
regressive austerity measures on to deficit countries
and sending them into a downward spiral of falling
output and employment in which their fiscal and public
debt measures will only get worse. Meanwhile the surplus
countries (especially Germany) are unwilling to extend
enough finance to protect deficit countries form further
battering by bond markets, and are even unwilling
to reduce their own dependence on export-driven growth,
which is necessary if rebalancing is to occur. It
is ridiculous to expect private investment and activity
to increase to fill the slack created by public expenditure
cuts, in this context of continuing crisis. So it
is not a surprise that employment is not recovering
and growth prospects are dismal.
Meanwhile the elephant continues to rampage around
the room. Mobile finance capital, which received major
bailouts and therefore now operates with the associated
moral hazard of humongous proportions, is faced with
very low interest rates and is still largely unregulated.
The climate of fear and loathing in the bond markets
that is driving governments to despair and preventing
them from engaging in required macroeconomic policies
is at least partly because of their own inability
to call the bluff of financial market agents, whether
they be rating agencies or derivatives traders or
investment banks or any other institutions.
So what needs to be done? Here are five basic steps.
First regulate finance, and do it properly. Bring
in genuine controls on the ''too-big-to-fail'' institutions.
Cover ''shadow banking'' in the regulation, to avoid
regulatory arbitrage. Incorporate a macro-prudential
dimension, with anti-cyclical capital requirements
and capital controls. Make commodity markets more
transparent, with more controls on financial activity
in commodity futures and direct intervention to curb
excessive volatility. Further, restructure the financial
system: downsize giant institutions; separate the
activities of commercial and investment banking; and
create more diverse financial systems, with a bigger
role for public and cooperative institutions.
Second, provide countercyclical lending to countries
that require it to prevent downswing or further retrogression.
This applies not only to the deficit countries of
Europe, whose plight is much publicised (though still
dire), but also to a much larger number of developing
countries. They have been battered by global winds
and cannot access finance on easy terms to cope with
adverse external circumstances; yet, the multilateral
institutions continue to force harsh austerity measures
on them even in a period of high and volatile food
and fuel prices.
Third, focus on productive and good quality employment
generation as the chief macroeconomic goal. This means
re-orienting stimulus measures in all countries to
focus on those instruments with the largest multiplier
effects, and increasing (rather than decreasing) public
expenditure on the provision of essential goods and
services such as food, sanitation, health and so on.
Fourth, in dealing with public sector imbalances and
public debt issues, emphasise taxation of the rich
and particularly of finance, rather than cutting spending
and putting additional burden of indirect taxation
on the bulk of the people. If this results in a shrinking
of the financial sector globally, so be it. This sector
is now far too large (and powerful) in relation to
its actual productive contributions to economies and
societies, and should indeed shrink in size. Taxation
should also be focussed on reducing income and asset
inequalities that are now so large as to threaten
social stability in many countries.
Finally, re-orient incentives within economies and
public spending in directions that encourage more
sustainable forms of economic activity, and patterns
of production and consumption that are less destructive
of nature and do not destroy already fragile ecological
balances.
Are these steps likely in the near future? Unfortunately,
it does not seem like it. But that is not because
the alternative strategy does not exist or is unknown
- only that the political vision and leadership for
such an alternative is currently missing.
* This article was originally
published on Sify.com and is available at:
http://www.sify.com/finance/global-financial-crisis-five-steps-world-leaders-need-to-take-urgently-but-haven-t-imagegallery-others-lkdsROhehha.html
October
4, 2011.
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