Ecuador must be one of the most exciting places on
Earth right now, in terms of working towards a new development paradigm.
It shows how much can be achieved with political will, even in uncertain
economic times.
Just 10 years ago, Ecuador was more or less a basket case, a quintessential
"banana republic" (it happens to be the world's largest exporter
of bananas), characterised by political instability, inequality, a poorly-performing
economy, and the ever-looming impact of the US on its domestic politics.
In 2000, in response to hyperinflation and balance of payments problems,
the government dollarised the economy, replacing the sucre with the
US currency as legal tender. This subdued inflation, but it did nothing
to address the core economic problems, and further constrained the domestic
policy space.
A major turning point came with the election of the economist Rafael
Correa as president. After taking over in January 2007, his government
ushered in a series of changes, based on a new constitution (the country's
20th, approved in 2008) that was itself mandated by a popular referendum.
A hallmark of the changes that have occurred since then is that major
policies have first been put through the referendum process. This
has given the government the political ability to take on major vested
interests and powerful lobbies.
The government is now the most stable in recent times and will soon
become the longest serving in Ecuador's tumultuous history. The president's
approval ratings are well over 70%. All this is due to the reorientation
of the government's approach, made possible by a constitution remarkable
for its recognition of human rights and the rights of nature, and its
acceptance of plurality and cultural diversity.
Consider just some economic changes brought about in the past four years,
beginning with the renegotiation of oil contracts with multinational
companies. Ecuador is an oil exporter, but had benefited relatively
little from this because of the high shares of oil sales that went to
foreign oil companies. A new law in July 2010 dramatically changed the
terms, increasing the government's share from 13% to 87% of gross oil
revenues.
Seven of the 16 foreign oil companies decided to pull out, and their
fields were taken over by state-run companies. But the others stayed
on and, as a result, state revenues increased by $870m (£563m)
in 2011.
Second, and possibly even more impressively, the government managed
a dramatic increase in direct tax receipts. In fact, this has been even
more important in revenue terms than oil receipts. Direct taxes (mainly
corporation taxes) increased from around 35% of total taxes in 2006
to more than 40% in 2011. This was largely because of better enforcement,
since the nexus between big business and the public tax administration
was broken.
Third, these increased government revenues were put to good use in infrastructure
investment and social spending. Ecuador now has the highest proportion
of public investment to GDP (10%) in Latin America and the Caribbean.
In addition, social spending has doubled since 2006. This has enabled
real progress towards the constitutional goals of free education at
all levels, and access to free healthcare for all citizens. Significant
increases in public housing have followed the constitution's affirmation
of the right of all citizens to dignified housing with proper amenities.
There are numerous other measures: expanding direct public employment;
increasing minimum wages and legally enforcing social security provision
for all workers; diversifying the economy to reduce dependence on oil
exports, and diversifying trading partners to reduce dependence on the
US; enlarging public banking operations to reach more small and medium
entrepreneurs; auditing external debt to reduce debt service payments;
and abandoning unfair bilateral investment agreements. Other efforts
include reform of the justice system.
One exciting recent initiative is the Yasuní-ITT
biosphere reserve, perhaps the world's first attempt to avoid greenhouse
emissions by leaving oil underground. This not only protects the extraordinary
biodiversity of the area but also the habitats of its indigenous peoples.
The scheme proposes to use ecotourism to make human activity compatible
with nature.
All this may sound too good to be true, and certainly the process of
transformation has only just begun. There are bound to be conflicts
with those whose profits and power are threatened, as well as other
hurdles along the way. But for those who believe that we are not condemned
to the gloomy status quo, and that societies can do things differently,
what is happening in Ecuador provides inspiration and even guidance.
The rest of the world has much to learn from this ongoing radical experiment.
*This article was originally published in The Guardian
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2012/jan/19/ecuador-radical-exciting-place
January
20, 2012.
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