In early November 2024, we raised the alarm that the IMF forecast for inflation in…
Awaiting the Oil After-shock
With headlines tracking the ever-rising price of oil, the lack of any major effect of the shock on global growth has become the subject of discussion and speculation. This article examines the factors driving the oil price increase and the likelihood that this increase would persist and affect the level and distribution of global income.
Awaiting_Oil (Download the full text in PDF format)