In
this paper we present a report on the papers and proceedings
of the Conference on "The Need to Re Think Development
Economics, convened by Thandike Mkandawire, Director
of the United Nations Research Institute on Social
Development (UNRISD), and hosted by the Ford Foundation
in Cape Town, September 7-8 2001. The conference brought
together some thirty development economists - from
South and North - to exchange ideas on how to counter
the hegemony of mainstream economics orthodoxy by
heterodox developmental paradigms and policies, based
on recent literature and, above all, on experience.
All participants were required to submit brief "ideas"
papers Additionally several communications were received
by economists who could not be present. Subsequently,
an initiative to establish an international network
of development economic research, co-ordinated from
the economics department of JNU, New Delhi was launched.
The conference confirmed our assessment of the usefulness
of the "old" development economics in the
search for pro-active policies of development. In
the context of "globalization", however,
it is evident that "open-ness" must be built
into models of large, as well as small economies.
We conclude that the development economics of the
1950s and 1960s, which drew on the teachings of the
great economists, are an essential element of programmes
to train a new generation of development economists,
and offer some suggestions for collective research
programmes, and networking within and outside the
Caribbean region.
Equitable Economic and Social
Transformation
In the 1980s, development economics was hounded out
of economics departments, international financial
institutions and journals, in an ideological counter
revolution which proclaimed there is one and only
one true economics and it is valid in all times and
places. Thatcher's TINA ("There is No Alternative").
The elimination of development economics was given
official sanction by the US government.
In the 1990s, there were signs of revival of interest
in development economics. The Washington Consensus",
based on deflationary monetarist macroeconomics, and
micro economics, predicated on unrealistic assumptions
of competitive markets, perfect knowledge and no transactions
costs, came under attack even within the BWIs. The
Asian crisis and the failure of SAPs gave rise to
proposals for "second generation" reforms"
to " reinvigorate state capability" The
World Bank proposed. Comprehensive development frameworks"
reminiscent of the ‘development planning"
associated with the old development economics.
Revisionist accounts of interventionist ISI policies
Latin America and Africa in the 1960s and 1970s recalled
growth rates which have not been equalled since, and
great progress in health and education Revisionist
accounts of the Asian "miracle economies"
revealed a developmental state which appeared to be
following the prescriptions of the old development
economics, with emphasis on high domestic savings,
high investment and .an active role of the state to
manage coordination problems, by over all development
programming. After 20 years of structural adjustment
to external and domestic financial imbalances, structural
transformation" of the real economy is returning
to the development discourse
As noted by Joe Stiglitz in a communication to the
conference, "there is a growing recognition that
the liberalization agendas pushed by the IMF were
counterproductive, there is no well developed theory
upon which policy makers wishing to have a nuanced,
gradual transition, can base their prescriptions".
Although the world is too complex for a single overarching
model to replace the competitive equilibrium model,
there are a set of tools and perspectives, derived
from models of imperfect information and incomplete
markets which can be used to make more appropriate
macroeconomic models. "The question is how can
we institutionally facilitate the replacement of the
old paradigm with new perspectives? Without stronger
intellectual foundations, one can point out the weaknesses
in the neoliberal paradigm, but cannot offer an alternative
that is not equally subject to criticism" This
was the central problem addressed by the conference:
" The main objective of this initiative is to
contribute to the revival of development economics,
not as a deviant branch of mainstream economics, but
as a subject whose role is to acquire understanding
of the vital problems that developing countries typically
face. There is also a need to produce a new generation
of development economists."( Mkandawire)
How to reconstruct "development economics"
to addressed poverty in an international environment
which privileges finance over the "real"
economy and has de-constructed the capacity of states
to institute equitable policies of economic development?
How to re-construct the developmental state as an
effective and democratic institution? How to challenge
a hegemonic ideology of methodological individualism
whose influence reaches beyond mainstream economics
to political science and sociology? Is it possible
to halt and reverse a trend toward the dissolution
of societies and effective nation states? Can normative
values of civilized human relations and scientific
reasoning prevail over the exercise of raw financial
and military power? These were the principal themes
addressed by the conference.
International Financial Liberalization
The expected gains of international financial liberalization
have not materialized. The last two decades associated
with globalization and liberalization have experienced
significantly lower growth than the quarter century
after World War Two. Latin America - the region where
economic reforms were implemented earlier and with
more enthusiasm - has grown at 3.2 per cent a year
in the 1990s. That is far below the 5.5 per cent growth
achieved in the 1950s and 1960s). As policy influence
of financial interests has grown, (e.g. greater central
bank independence) there has been a deflationary macroeconomic
policy bias through the world economy, reflected in
high real interest rates. This contrasts with the
first post war decades suggesting that moderate inflation
and mild financial repression were conducive to growth.
Currency and financial crises have become more frequent
and severe; international economic inequalities have
grown, and aid flows have reduced. Financial liberalization
has undermined deployment of financial policy instruments
to accelerate development, which even the World Bank
1993 East Asian Miracle study acknowledged was successful
in promoting growth and structural change in the region
"The Bretton Woods Institutions (BWIs) have been
increasingly seen as obstacles to development because
they have taken advantages of economic distress to
push through policy agendas promoting economic liberalization
favouring transnational - especially financial - ascendance".
It follows that the big challenge for economic policy
is ultimately at the international level. The governance
of international organizations has to be fundamentally
reformed to favour an equitable and sustainable development,
rather than assuming that liberalization and globalization
will somehow miraculously achieve this objective (Jomo).
"A New Financial Architecture as a Global Public
Good" requires the following four conditions:
transparency and regulation (including counter-cyclical
elements) of international loan and capital markets;
an increase in international official liquidity in
distress conditions for middle and low income countries;
standstill and orderly debt work out procedures, and
sufficient development finance for countries that
cannot receive private flows. Significantly, the author
of these comments noted that if progress is not made
soon, or worse if there are reversals in the existing
financial architecture that would make it even less
supportive of development, developing countries might
need to seriously re-think their development strategies.
This implies two elements: measure to limit or slow
down opening of the capital account to protect themselves
from volatility and reversals in capital flows; and
increased reliance on domestic policy to generate
growth "from within" (Sunkel) by "
active productive development policies" (Ocampo)
or "domestic investment strategy" ( Rodrik).
A new development agenda needs to give thought to
new policy instruments that can provide public resources
and incentives to give support and guidance to the
private sector. This "opening of spaces for development
from within" would be particularly essential
if the IFS is not reformed. However, it would be very
valuable even if the IFS were reformed, in generating
a positive dynamic of interaction between stable private
capital flows and domestic growth quickened by national
efforts. (Griffith Jones)
The mechanisms by which the free international movement
of short term financial capital expose countries to
disruptive structural fragility, and deprives them
of even the most basic instruments of stability and
austerity was described with exemplary lucidity by
a contribution from the intellectual front line of
a recent major casualty - Turkey. In an open economy,
the central bank can choose only one of three of the
following instruments: exchange rate, interest rate,
and money supply, leaving the other two to the play
of market forces. Raising the net differential of
the interest rate and the rate of depreciation of
the exchange rate over world levels, triggers large
capital inflows. The exchange rate appreciates, exports
become less competitive, import demand escalates,
the current account deficit widens - until there is
a loss of confidence in the domestic currency. To
offset increased country risk and protect international
creditworthiness, the monetary authority raises interest
rates even higher and starts to hoard foreign reserves.
This attracts further inflows of short-term capital.
To check the surge in the value of the money supply,
the central bank engages in monetary sterilization
by restricting the domestic component - with a consequent
rise in the domestic interest rates. The cycle recommences.
The bonanza of debt financed public (Turkey) or private
(Mexico) spending escalates - until finally the bubble
bursts and a series of severe macroeconomic adjustments
are enacted through very high real interest rates,
and severe reductions of public and private expenditure.
Meanwhile, the short term "hot" money has
rushed out of the country, leaving a cascade of bankruptcies.
The net earnings appropriated by the foreign portfolio
investor is the difference between the (high) interest
earned in the domestic economy and the (nominal) depreciation
of the local currency. The conclusion of this story
is that countries that are dependent on unrestricted
external capital flows are obliged to adopt or maintain
contractionary monetary and fiscal policies to secure
investor confidence and international creditworthiness.
They suffer from increased volatility of output growth,
short sightedness of entrepreneurial decisions, and
the informalization of labour markets.
It follows that many of the remedies suggested for
avoiding future crises "will do no such thin"
Among such measures are financial sector reform, better
information, cleaning up corruption in lending, getting
government out of the targeting business, and improving
the governance of the corporate sector. "Notwithstanding
the importance of these structural reforms, the single
most important source in our analysis for a crisis
to develop was short term financial markets open to
international financial flows which are navigated
by the herd behaviour induced by the speculative and
short sighted portfolio investors. The primary remedy
for attaining sustained development lies in regulating
short term international flows." (Yeldan)
The Developmental State
In the low income countries of Sub-Sahara Africa,
the multilateral financial/economic institutions controlled
by the major western powers have directly promoted
socio-economic policy ‘reforms" based on
a market driven economy, curtailment of state intervention,
and retrenchment of government expenditures. Debt
rescheduling and new lending is accompanied by an
array of conditionality and cross conditionality clauses
which essentially compel countries in economic distress
to embrace these neoliberal policies. Notwithstanding
repeated acknowledgements by the World Bank of multiple
shortcomings of these policies, orthodox structural
adjustment programmes continue to be administered
to African countries.
Since the Asian Crisis, various alternatives to neoliberalism
have received increasing attention. At the heart of
some of these alternatives is a concern to bring development
back into the mainstream of economic and social policy
making Contrary to the suggestion that African experience
of state intervention in the first two decades of
independence were wasted years, in the 1960s and 1970s
Africa consistently achieved growth rates equalling
the best performers in a world scale. Strong developmental
agenda, linked with the nationalist independence project
- whether officially described as ‘socialism',
or "market/capitalism" or a "mixed"
economy - contrast with the "maladjustment"
of the 1980s and 1990s, characterized by a massive
erosion of capacity in virtually all spheres of life.
"The close inter-connection between the aspiration
for rapid national economic development and the goal
of nation building in Africa in the 1960s and 1970s
represents a far cry from the adjustment years when
every effort was made, as part of the rolling back
of the frontiers of the state, not only to jettison
national planning - and in so doing transform the
entire continent into a gigantic laboratory for unaccountable
and questionable experiments- but also to subordinate
politics to the dictates of a narrowly defined notion
of the market economic system"
National economic development, national unity, and
independence are goals which were, and still remain
impeccable. However, the tragedy of the post independence
developmentalism was the assumption that only the
state could attain these objectives. This provided
the context for the restriction of expressions of
political pluralism, and the eventual emergence of
single party and/or military regimes. To place development
back to the top of the agenda requires a dynamic model
of state participation in the economic and social
process and a system of democratic accountability.
The popular quest for democratic representation will
have to be taken fully on board in the policy making
process.
"Given the extreme gap between the promises of
market-based reforms and the actual achievements recorded,
there is an objective basis for jettisoning structural
adjustment in favour of more heterodox economic policy
framework, more attuned to the realities and needs
of African countries in all spheres of life. This
will require a large investment in re-building the
effective capacity of the state for policy formulation
and implementation to revive the real economy of agriculture
and industry, which suffered some of the worst setbacks
during structural adjustment, and to make strategic
decisions in the area of economic and social infrastructure
to generate employment and produce skills necessary
for national development". (Olukoshi)
The re-assertion of the role of the developmental
state confronts a large body of literature on the
"impossibility" of replicating the successful
Asian experience in Africa. The African state is demonized
as a "rent-generating institution" whereby
special interest group manipulate politicians and
bureaucrats to their advantage. . In an important
article on "Thinking About Developmental States
in Africa" Mkandawire observed that "rent
seeking" has departed far from its original definition
in economics and made to serve as an ideological weapon
of neoliberal critique of the state. The concept has
been stretched to include anything from Mafia like
activities to lobbying by chambers of commerce. In
the case of Africa, rent seeking is used interchangeably
with corruption, patron-clientalism even the extended
African family. In his introductory remarks to the
conference, he noted, "The wide recognition of
‘government failure' has been used to override
any argument for the need to correct for ‘market
failure'. Even economists who have contributed to
the elaboration of models suggesting the need for
state intervention (endogenous growth theories etc)
have either shied away from explicitly drawing the
interventionist implications of their analysis, or
have been constrained to negate the strategic implications
of their models by arguing that the state cannot be
trusted with the task since the likely outcome of
government failure would be worse than ‘market
failure' ". (Mkandawire).
Following repeated failures of the Washington Consensus,
"second generation" conditionalities have
been added on to standard macroeconomic adjustment
programmes. These "governance" conditionalities
include transparency, accountability, elimination
of corruption, poverty alleviation, participation
and democracy. All of this is supposed to be "owned"
by states too weak and incompetent to determine their
own developmental priorities!! While negotiations
for HIPC debt relief now engage recipient governments
and civil society in discussion of poverty reduction
strategy papers (PRSP) and the World Bank has introduced
"comprehensive development frameworks",
the underlying macroeconomic policies continue to
be set by the BWIs. "Unless genuine debate can
be extended to the design of structural adjustment
programmes, real ownership of programmes cannot be
in the hands of recipient countries. Because "foreign
aid and concessional loans are in short supply, ...the
granting of debt forgiveness through HIPC facilities
becomes a convenient de facto rationing device for
aid allocation". (Nissanke)
The Male Breadwinner Bias and
the Unpaid Care Economy
In the Golden Age of development economics, the stated
policy objective was national development by industrialization
and diversification of structures of production. In
the era of the neoclassical counter-revolution, the
stated policy objective was the efficient use of resources
by freeing global markets for goods and capital (but
not labour). In both cases the measure of success
was growth of GDP, which was expected to reduce household
poverty and international inequality between countries.
Although, as already noted, in the first post world
war decades growth stronger and finance less predatory
than, poverty, marginalization and inequality have
grown through the past 50 years, albeit more rapidly
in the last quarter of the 20th century.
Both "state" and "market" oriented
development deal with the "commodity economy"
to the exclusion of the "unpaid care economy"
in which people produce services for their families,
friends and neighbours on the basis of social obligation,
altruism and reciprocity. The care economy is important
for two reasons: the first is that inputs of unpaid
work and outputs of care are very important for human
well being; the second is that although the unpaid
care economy is outside the production boundary, its
operations affect the quantity and quality of labour
supplied to production, and the quantity and quality
of goods demanded from production. It affects the
social framework within which market and state are
embedded.
Feminist economics has made a major contribution to
the development discourse by exploring the relation
ship between the social economy of care and the commercial
economy of paid work. The former is predominantly
done by the unpaid labour of women. , Gendered social
norm's about "men's work" and "women's
work" means that men's work tends not to be re-allocated
to "women's work" when there is decline
of demand for "men's work' and an increase in
demand for "women's work" The likely outcome
is unemployment for men, and overwork for women. Ignoring
the contribution of unpaid domestic labour is tantamount
to assuming that women's capacity for extra work is
infinitely elastic. But it is not. If there is not
enough female labour time to maintain the social reproduction,
there will be a long run deterioration in health,
nutrition and education. Gendered analysis beings
together what has generally been thought of as "the
economy" (monetized aspects of life) with what
has often been thought of as the sphere of the "social"
(non monetized aspects of life), without however dissolving
the difference, as in the "new household economics"
based on the application of rational choice theory
to social life.
The approach offers important insights into the relationship
between economic and social policy. As noted in previous
sections, prevailing practice is to devise ‘sound'
macroeconomic policies and then add on social policies
to achieve desirable social outcomes. These macroeconomic
policies are less concerned about real resource constraints
than financial constraints which depend on ownership
and control of financial resources, and willingness
of different groups to pay taxes and buy government
bonds. What is ‘sound' in terms of balancing
budgets can be quite ‘unsound' in terms of destroying
human capacities, as people loose access to employment
and essential goods and services.
Elson favours a socio-economic approach based on (Amartya
Sen's) entitlement success and failure, and a human
rights approach of the accountability of states actors
and international organizations for economic, social
and cultural rights. Because entitlements can operate
either through buying and selling in "liberalized'
markets, or by universal state based rights, this
discourse cannot escape tensions of "market and
state". At this point Elson introduces the "technocratic
calculation versus popular deliberation" argument.
Macroeconomic policy is typically in the domain of
an economic priesthood wielding mathematical models,
while civil society is invited to discuss social policy
planning without voice or choice in macroeconomic
policy. This always leads to a situation where social
and human development and equity takes a back seat
to financial considerations. We are back to the effective
veto of financial markets over autonomous policy formulation.
With reference to experiments in Bangladesh and Canada
(Culpeper), with participatory development of alternative
national budget, taxation and monetary policies to
achieve a range of social goals including gender equality
and the protection of human rights, Elson concludes
that this option is foreclosed not by the technical
requirements of macro economic policy, but by the
fear of pre-emptive exercise of the "exit"
option by financial institutions The "openness
" of capital markets is associated with an absence
of "openness" in policy discussion.
Re Thinking Development Economics
The conference addressed the challenge of producing
a new generation of development economists with professional
competence and critical perspective. A spectrum of
views was expressed. Van Arkadie pointed out that
most working economists have to work within the terms
of the prevailing paradigm of conventionally established
economics. Few reach the level where they can demand
the use of an alternative intellectual framework Moreover,
when used sensibly, conventional economics provides
a useful toolbox for many policy tasks. Therefore
working economists have to have a solid command over
standard economics, including basic principles and
econometric techniques. Sophistication in required
in understanding the hidden biases in received doctrine;
comparative historical and contemporary experience
and the national history of policy and economic performance.
In that regard, we must ask how far knowledge useful
for policy-making lies within conventional boundaries
of economics, rather than in historical, political
and social studies. What is required is a specific
analysis of the forces that eroded the capacity of
the African states and the requirements for change
- both in terms of technocracy and political economy.
(Van Arkadie).
A somewhat similar view is expressed by Helleiner
who favours an approach of greater respect for and
competence in applied economics in a variety of fields
(public finance, money, trade, open-economy macro,
health, etc.) with particular reference to developing
economies in all their institutional, cultural, political
and historical variety "I suspect that it may
not be productive to try to resurrect the "grand
theorizing" of the "greats" (Lewis,
Nurkse, Rosenstein-Rodan, Hirschman, etc), or to try
to build on the "new growth" literature.
The material is far too general to have much policy
influence. In his view, the root of the problem lies
in mainstream post graduate economics programmes which
train the teachers and practitioners of most developing
economies today." We must try to reduce the relative
importance assigned to purely abstract reasoning,
re-balance economic theory courses to place traditional
neoclassical assumptions into their appropriate context
, restore economic history and the history of economic
thought to the core curriculum and insist on greater
relative emphasis on empirical and policy analysis"
(Helleiner).
A more positive view of the contribution of development
economics to heterodox alternatives to the mainstream
policy discourse came from Jayati Ghosh. "Economics
as a discipline has always been concerned with development.
The early economists from the Physiocrats through
Smith, Ricardo to Marx were essentially concerned
with understanding the process of economic growth
and structural change and to what extent they actually
led to greater material prosperity and human progress"
(Ghosh). Trying to understand the process of growth
and development remains the basic motivating force
for the study of economics .It would be misleading
to treat (development economics) as a branch of the
subject, since the questions raised touch at the core
of the discipline itself. In the 1980s, development
economics was first reviled, then ignored, and finally
forgotten.
Recent times have seen a revival of interest and a
spate of new textbooks, with sharper focus on "micro"
efficiency reflecting the intellectual ethos prevailing
in academic centres of the North. The new development
economics literature remains firmly entrenched in
the methodological individualism which characterized
all the mainstream economics of today. It could be
described as a sort of "National Geographic"
view of economic development whereby snapshots of
"exotic" institutions and activities are
described and distances from the "‘norm'
of developed capitalism are explained using the same
analytical tools developed for the ‘norm"
On the basis of this analysis, policy proposals are
suggested to make the institutions of exotic countries
more like those of the norm. She questioned whether
this new apparently improved development economics
is really not worth saving. A better way might be
to find alternative ways of addressing the still fascinating
and relevant issues of growth, development, structural
change, and inequality in all economies, especially
those not characterized as ‘developed".
A starting point of an alternative approach is the
(political economy) idea that relative prices are
neither determinants nor reflections of "efficiency"
but reflections of different power configurations
- compatible with chronic under utilization of capital
and labour. Such patterns in national markets have
a clear corollary in international (world) markets,
which in turn affect the inter actions of national
economies. Following a political economy approach,
wages, profits rent and interest each have to be explained
according to different principles, rather than coming
out of the same wash as "factor payments".
This gives history a very different role. It calls
into question the role of ‘factors of production"'
as somehow "natural" to the economic system.
In this perspective, markets and governments are revealed
as social institutions and we cannot escape politics
- whether at the national or at the international
level. The study of development is ultimately the
study of all economies and can draw on a rich resource
of theoretical and empirical work in many intellectual
centres in developing countries (Jayati Ghosh).
Because structural changes in the world system have
altered some of the fundamental propositions of the
earlier development economists, a reconsideration
of development economics is warranted to address the
following questions. Does easy access to large pools
of international liquidity now permit developing countries
to finance larger current account deficit? Does this
mean that highly protectionist policies of the past
to deal with external vulnerability are no longer
necessary? Or does it expose them to new kinds of
vulnerability which warrant different kinds of insularity?
Do growing opportunities for the export of "new
economy based" services require policies different
from those of the 1950s and 1960s? Finally, has liberalization
generated structures which make a substantial roll
back of the liberalization process difficult? Or stated
otherwise, does path dependence foreclose policies
that derive from the existing set of stylized facts?
(Chandrasekhar).
Gita Sen expressed the view that we have not adequately
addressed the changes in the regime of accumulation
and modes of regulation that underpin the neoliberal
thrust, especially changes in the labour process associated
with the information and bio technical revolutions.
These deep and widespread changes have transformed
the core of agricultural and industrial production,
opening new frontiers for technology and research.
This third (?) industrial revolution associated with
"globalization" has broken three major social
compacts of the post war World War Two mode of regulation:
the compact between worker and employer (private or
state); creating space for a new "flexibilized"
younger female workforce; the social security/welfare
compact of citizen rights to entitlements is weakening;
and the development assistance compact between North
and South has been eclipsed by focus on governance
and corruption. All three of these compacts were gender
biased. She noted positive aspects of new modes of
regulation including the recognition of "informal"
and home based work; the use of a tax on financial
transactions in Brazil to finance a universal health
system in which women's health has a central place;
and South-South linkages to break the monopoly of
pharmaceutical companies. She favoured a shift from
traditional development economics to development studies,
where an understanding of participatory approaches
to rural development, the importance of sustainable
livelihoods and the need for a gendered analysis of
development have flourished, and a definition of development
as means equitable improvement in the quality of life;
genuine democratization, and the guarantee of full
human rights for all.
In the paper summarized earlier in this report, Diane
Elson called for an emancipatory socio-economics.
Her starting point was the need to re-think all economics,
not only the kind of propositions applied to developing
countries. Neoclassical economics does not work well
for any country. If neoclassical economics is allowed
to appear (even by default) as appropriate for rich
and powerful countries, any reconstituted development
economics will continue to be marginalized."
Reducing all observable phenomena to the outcome of
an exercise in constrained optimization by representative
individuals is not a mark of scientific rigour, but
impoverished imagination". It ignores the evidence
that human behaviour is much more complex. It grossly
oversimplifies the interaction between agency and
structure, and fails to understand complex social
phenomena that are inherently unstable and subject
to change, or social objectives which are an open-ended
process, or how economic and social policy should
interact.
Lim expressed the view that the revival of development
economics should be outside the paradigms and methodologies
set by dominant mainstream economics - without a complete
break with mainstream economics practitioners, since
our goal is eventually to win over the more sincere
and good hearted of our colleagues. Beside, there
are many things to be learnt from the work of good
economists (of different ideologies) like, Keynes,
Hayek, Tobin, and more modern ones like Amartya Sen,
Douglas North, Joseph Stiglitz or Dani Rodrik. Some
of the great economists or thinkers, discarded by
mainstream economics, -Marx, Schumpeter, Mydral, Joan
Robinson to name just a few - should be re-integrated
into our new development economics. There is fertile
ground for inter disciplinary work incorporating Keynesian,
Marxian, structuralist, sociological, psychological
and political theories, new institutional theories,
and post-modern insights. Above all, the new development
economics should have a historical context and take
into consideration institutions, socio-cultural values
and practices and governance structures. Whatever
methodology is used, "the importance is a sincere
effort to get at the essence of development in a historical
and institutional setting" (Lim).
The critical role of institutions in the transition
from socialism to capitalism was explored in a paper
on the relation ship between economic liberalization,
institutions of governance and economic performance
in East Europe, the former republics of the Soviet
Union (FSU), the Baltic States, China and Vietnam.
A statistical analysis yielded "the important
conclusion that " there is enough evidence that
differing performance during transition, after factoring
in initial conditions and external environment, depends
mostly on the strength of institutions, and not so
much on the progress of liberalization, per se"
In the language of political science, "strong
authoritarian regimes" (China, Vietnam, Uzbekistan)
and "strong democratic regimes" (Central
East Europe) exhibit better economic performance than
"weak democratic regimes" ( the FSU and
the Baltic states) The former two are politically
liberal or liberalizing, i.e. protect individual rights,
including those of property and contract, and create
a framework of law and administration, whereas the
latter, although democratic, are politically not very
liberal because they lack strong institutions and
the ability to enforce the rule of law. This gives
rise to "illiberal democracies" where competitive
elections are introduced before the rule of law is
established".
While European countries in the19th century and East
Asian countries recently moved from first establishing
the rule of law to gradually introducing democratic
elections, in Latin America, Africa and now the CIS
countries democratic political systems were introduced
in societies without the ability to enforce the rule
of law and order. By focussing on liberalization and
macroeconomic stabilization the conventional wisdom
overlooked the impact of strong institutions. The
importance of preserving strong institutional capacity
of the state may be considered as the main finding
of this paper, with strong policy implications. Liberalization
alone, when it is not accompanied by strong institutions,
cannot ensure good performance. The debate about the
speed of liberalization (shock therapy versus gradualism)
was to a large extent mis-focussed, whereas the crucial
importance of strong institutions was overlooked.
Vietnam (rapid liberalization) and China (gradual
liberalization) both made a successful transition.
The Gorbachev reforms (1985-91) failed not because
they were gradual but due to the weakening of the
state institutional capacity leading to the inability
of the government to control the flow of events. The
Yeltsin reforms in Russia, as well as economic reforms
in most of the FSU states, were so costly, not because
of the shock therapy, but due to the collapse of the
institutions needed to enforce law and order and carry
out manageable transition ( Popov) .
A fascinating paper by Mark Wuyts on changing perceptions
of poverty and unemployment over 200 years of industrial
capitalism illustrates the analytical power of a political
economy approach to the rise and decline of wage labour
in the capitalist world economy. A comparison of early
industrial capitalism in England with mid 20th century
"underemployment" reveals the "disguised"
or "hidden unemployment" of the early development
economists as a rediscovery of Marx"s earlier
notion of the latent surplus population as part of
the "reserve army of labour" as a latent
surplus population. Before wage labour was institutionalized
in the industrial capitalist countries, the concept
of unemployment did not exist. In public debate in
the 19th century, it was "pauperism", not
unemployment that occupied centre stage. In the 1950s,
the early development economists saw wage labour as
a process in the making. They talked about economic
growth in terms of the absorption of "surplus
labour" by employment in the "modern sector".
In the last two decades of the 20th century, however,
there has been a marked shift away from these early
concerns and from the concepts which embedded these
concerns in theory (wage employment). "While
the pioneers talked about employment and growth, the
new "international consensus" talks about
" pro-poor growth". Poverty, rather than
unemployment, has become the key concern. "The
transition from unemployment to poverty is interesting
once we take note that about a hundred years ago the
opposite transition took place - away from poverty
(or "paupers") to unemployment. The paper
addresses this conceptual reversal in economic discourse"
from poverty to unemployment", to "from
unemployment back to poverty" and situates it
within the broader process of what Makoto Itoh has
called a "spiral reversal" in capitalist
development since 1980s." The aim of this paper
is to re-assert the continued importance in development
economics of looking at poverty, inequality and deprivation
from the perspective of accumulation, the employment
relation, and the dynamics of unemployment" (Wuyts).
After one hundred years of exposure to capitalism,
the majority of the labour force remains underemployed
in all the countries of Southern Africa. The formal
sector accounts for less than 20 per cent, with the
exception of South Africa, where it is as high as
about 45 per cent. The low labour absorptive capacity
of African economies is addressed in a paper by Mhone
in terms of the legacy of "enclave growth"
and the failure of policy regimes both of socialist
and market type to address the structural roots of
the problem by policies of omission and commission.
The implication is that pro-active policies are needed
in addition to the usual market friendly measures
to undo the vicious circle of perpetual under employment
that afflicts the majority of the labour force. The
author finds the approach of Baran and Lewis useful
in illuminating the internal constraints to market
led growth in an economy dominated but not completed
captured by capitalism, and in demonstrating the inter
active nature of external and internal factors in
perpetuating underemployment unless specific interventions
are undertaken. (Mhone)
How to Promote a New Development
Agenda?
The substantive content of these and other papers
presented at the conference is proof, if proof were
needed, of the critical importance of reclaiming and
re-invigorating development economics within the broader
framework of political economy and development studies.
How to effectively challenge the neoliberal paradigm?
How can we institutionally facilitate the replacement
of the old paradigm with new perspectives? As Stiglitz
noted in his communication to the conference, the
competitive paradigm is taught in practically every
graduate program in the world. Many of the ingredients
of an alternative paradigm are hardly mentioned. However
the time for challenging the current reigning paradigm
may be ripe, as dissatisfaction with globalization
grows and the spotlight placed on it highlighted many
of its deficiencies. "A strategy of replacing
the neoliberal agenda with an alternative requires
more extensively "challenging" both the
assumptions and the conclusions of the standard paradigm.
By exposing more explicitly the incidence of the policies
(who benefits; who bears the risk) and by analysing
more explicitly the political economy (who makes the
decisions; whose interest do they serve) the legitimacy
and the credibility of the policies will be undermined,
and thereby the support for them".
It is crucial to achieve more visibility within the
leading educational institutions. This requires two
things. First "capturing" graduate students
at an early stage, before they have fully ‘bought
into" the neoliberal paradigm; secondly, because
achieving tenure in leading educational institutions
requires publication, and many journals are not as
open to alternative perspectives as they should be,
the creation of a high quality referred journal (partly
internet based) may help to rectify this problem"
Other suggestions include summer institutes to provide
students interested in alternative paradigms with
opportunities to become acquainted with perspectives
which they would not normally encounter in more conventional
graduate programs, and help them develop a research
program for their PhD. while building a network of
supportive intellectual relationships. To be effectives
such institutes would have to recruit some of the
world's leading development scholars (Stiglitz).
Helleiner's comments replicated much of the above,
with the additional advice that we must win back socially
motivated students who are at present completely "turned
off" by postgraduate economics programmes. He
also observed that current screening mechanisms for
postgraduate studies in economics discourage many
of those the profession now most requires, and attracts
instead those with a predeliction for abstract reasoning,
mathematics and avoidance of political or "value"
judgements. This raises the question of where a reformed
economics programme can be built, while at the same
time "standards" and "prestige"
are retained in the ‘job market".
While the problem described by Stiglitz and Helleiner,
and the suggestions they offer address the academic
curricula in major academic institutions of the North,
the relevance to the South in general, and the Caribbean
in particular is threefold:
1) requirements for admission to Northern graduate
economics programmes determine what must be taught
to students aspiring to gain entrance to good graduate
schools;
2) standards and practices of the North determine
"best practice" in universities of the South;
as pointed out by several participants, "economic
development" will not be re-established as an
attractive area of study in graduate schools in the
South until it re-gains ground in the North;
3) the need to restore the history of economic thought
and economic history of the world capitalist economy
system to core economics curricula are equally valid
for universities in the South, including the Caribbean.
In academic institutions of the South, "economic
development" is - or should be - central to all
policy discussion. In fact, a great deal of empirical
and theoretical work is being done by scholars in
the South. The problem is one of intellectual isolation
of economists searching for alternative approaches
in academic environments dominated by the hegemony
of neo-classical economics, without resources to access
to important new material or contact with like minded
scholars on an international scale. To meet the evident
need for institutional networking especially South-South,
the Cape Town conference gave birth to an important
initiative. The proposal is to create an International
Development Economics Associates (IDEAs), headquartered
at Jawaharlal Nehru University in New Delhi, as a
pluralistic network of heterodox economists engaged
in the teaching, research and application of critical
analysis of economic development. While the organization
will be South-based, the network will be open to all
committed to developing more appropriate and progressive
analysis s of development challenges. The proposed
activities include
1) Setting up and managing a web site to facilitate
the network. The website would warehouse existing
and ingoing research work on development economics
from heterodox perspectives; provide short analyses
of current economic developments; make available and
encourage the sharing of teaching materials such as
reading lists and references on specific areas; provide
links to other relevant websites; facilitate e mail
based discussion on particular matters;
2) Organizing thematic workshops designed to bring
together experienced researchers with younger academics
and policy makers, around specific topics or areas.
These workshops will have an important pedagogical
component of enhancing knowledge and capability among
a younger generation;
3) Facilitating exchange visits across developing
countries by scholars of repute as well as by young
researchers who will benefit from the experience.
Such visits should be by those resident or working
in developing countries, to other developing countries
to widen comparative experience;
4) Developing, publishing and disseminating resource
materials and the eventual planning and launching
of a refereed journal.
Some Conclusions and Suggestions
There is much to be learned from the initiative by
heterodox economists from the South, in responding
to the monopoly of neoclassical economics in teaching
and policy research.
Teaching programmes should introduce students to a
variety of approaches to economics, including post
Keynesian, structuralist, institutionalist, Schumpeterian,
Marxist and neo-Marxist etc. in courses on the history
of economic thought.
Development economics should have a central place
in curricula, with emphasis on the fact that all economies
are to a greater or lesser degree open to trade and
capital flows (Development Macroeconomics). It should
be taught historically, accompanied by a comparative
review of the experience of economic development in
Asia, Africa, Latin America and the Caribbean from
1950 to the present.
There is much to be learnt from the "greats"
of development economics. For the Caribbean, the work
of WA Lewis and Raul Prebisch are of special significance.
The three great themes of development economics -
"growth and equity"; "market and state";
and "trade and development" remain central
to the economic development discourse. (See my paper
on "Reclaiming The Right To Development").
We should explore links with the IDEAs project and
take it as a guide for developing a Caribbean internet
based network (website) for ACE.
Caribbean Economics
I believe the time has come to break out of a provincialism
which does not serve us well. We have to re-examine
the idea of ‘Caribbean economics". What
do we mean by this? Certainly, Caribbean economies
have specific characteristics due to common geographical
location and historical experience (as plantation
economies). It is increasingly recognized in the literature
of "socio-economics" that markets are institutionally
embedded in a social/legal/cultural matrix. Mainstream
economics abstracts from the political and social
environment, and the historic legacy. That is a valid
critique. Caribbean economists of a previous generation
(the plantation economists) were pioneers in identifying
some of the institutional characteristics of Caribbean
economies. The ultimate purpose behind our work was
to point the way to a more self-reliant development
"from within". Excepting Cuba, experience
in that direction has not been impressive. Indeed,
there has been regression and a serious loss of policy
autonomy. This is not unique to our region. There
is a growing opinion in the South that "globalization'
is a straightjacket which privileges financial investors
at the cost of policy autonomy of developing countries
to determine development objectives and priorities.
See among others, Ocampo (2000)
In the 1980s and 1990s, a fundamentalist strain of
neoclassical economics gained a hegemonic position
in the Anglo American academic establishment, with
feedback to graduate programmes in the South - including
the Caribbean. A defensive reaction to protect the
traditional of "Caribbean economics", together
with the influence of funding agencies in determining
research priorities on Caribbean social issues, has
created a climate of provincialism, and almost wilful
ignorance of larger issues in the rest of the world.
As implied in my WALewis memorial lecture, we have
been quite parochial in our treatment of Lewis, focussing
exclusively on his writings on the Caribbean, ignoring
the fact that Lewis, more than any other economist,
established "development economics" as a
discipline within economics - with all its faults
and shortcomings. (I received several comments on
the Lewis memorial lecture from economists all over
the world, but (excepting Mark Figuaro) none from
the Caribbean).
Parochialism is inexcusable, especially in the Caribbean
which has multiple links with all four corners of
the world - Africa, Asia, Europe, and the Americas.
There are useful models of collective and comparative
research programmes - including a CEPAL project, with
an interesting historical component (in honour of
Raul Prebisch). We might consider a similar comparative/historical
study of the countries of the Caribbean, with (collectively
agreed) historical phases; or, a more topical comparative
study on "export oriented development" in
the Caribbean since 1980. Or comparative experiences
of macro-economic stabilization (why is Barbados successful
and Jamaica such a mess); or experiences of privatization
of public services and infrastructure. In all these
cases, the first step would be to organize a workshop
where participants would share their knowledge of
relevant literature and experiences in other (non
Caribbean) developing countries, applicable to the
subject under investigation.
Finally, while empirical research is essential, we
should not be afraid to confront big questions and
big issues - globalization, environmental degradation
of soil, air and water; diseases - old and new - which
consume and ravage lives; and violence in its aspects
- domestic, criminal and military.
I believe it was Keynes who said: "let ideas
be international, but above all let finance be national.
Perhaps that is no longer possible. But it is clear
that global capital cannot be permitted unstrained
freedom to enter and exit economies, leaving a trail
of bankruptcies, treasuries drained of foreign exchange,
and livelihoods destroyed. Ideas, however can - and
should - circulate freely across the globe. Knowledge
is power - a foundation for the solidarity of peoples
struggling for a better life for the Caribbean - and
the world.
References:
Thandika Mkandawire: "Thinking
About Developmental States in Africa" Cambridge
Journal of Economics, 2001, 25, 289-313
Kari Polanyi Levitt, " The Right To Development",
Fifth Sir Arthur Lewis Memorial Lecture, Castries,
St Lucia, November 2000.
Kari Polanyi Levitt "Reclaiming The Right To
development" UNRISD Conference, Cape Town,
Dani Rodrik The New Global Economy and Developing
Countries:: Making Openness Work,
Overseas development Council and John Hopkins University
Press, Washington 1999.
November 6, 2001. |