The
spate of financial crises in the 1990s has unambiguously
established the heightened vulnerability in the international
financial system brought about by widespread financial-sector
deregulation and liberalization. Basically, this calls
for a thorough revisiting of their neo-liberal macroeconomic
policies by the Bretton Woods Institutions (BWIs),
which, through one-size-fits-for-all advocacy on continuous
market-led trade and financial liberalization, have
created unprecedented external vulnerability, economic
instability, and human suffering for countries and
peoples of the South. However, the multilateral bodies
still resist attempts for fundamental changes in their
own policies and stick to the ideological frame that
supports their adjustment policies.
The problems of financial crisis faced by sovereign
borrowers with liberalized financial markets have
been exacerbated by the prevailing structure of international
financial markets. Ever since the debt crises of the
early 1980s, it has become clear that the growth of
private lending to developing countries has generated
an inherent tendency in global financial markets towards
herding and subsequent over-exposure of individual
financial institutions in particular emerging markets.
It has also become increasingly evident that the conflicts
of interests among a growing number of independent
private players make it extremely difficult to carry
out restructuring of the foreign debt of indebted
countries, even in situations of crises.
While this could force debtor nations into default
as well as make it impossible for them to remain open
to and integrated with the global financial system—an
outcome not preferred by either the Fund or the private
creditor (financial market players) community—the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) has thus far managed
to prevent any major default by financing large rescue
packages that bail out creditors who had not exercised
due diligence when lending to public and private agents
in emerging markets. However, given the increased
prevalence and severity of crises in recent years,
and the large and increasingly unfeasible debt workouts
that the IMF has had to coordinate and part-finance
consequently, the IMF has been proposing a Sovereign
Debt Restructuring Mechanism (SDRM), to enable a prompt
and equitable debt restructuring for countries in
financial crisis.
The central challenge to successful sovereign debt
restructuring has been pointed out as the failure
of collective action by the sovereign's diverse
creditors, which complicates and delays the process
of finalizing a restructuring agreement, causing economic
havoc to the debtor country and eroding the value
of the creditors' claims in the process. The
intention behind the calls for an international insolvency
procedure is such that a framework has to be put in
place, which would enable rapid and orderly debt restructuring
and help the country to arrive at a sustainable debt
situation, so that the unnecessary costs of the present
drawn-out debt workouts can be averted and the debtor
country can be brought back to a path of economic
recovery and development. In fact, debt analysts have
since long been calling for such a procedure, and
the IMF has been ignoring it, until 2001.
By focusing its discussions currently on the need
for an international framework for sovereign debt
workouts, it appears that the IMF is attempting to
divert the attention of the international community
from the calls for structural reform of the international
financial architecture, inclusive of itself. Following
the economic havoc wrought by a series of financial
crises and the inability of Fund policies to prevent
and subsequently handle these crises, such calls had
been gathering widespread momentum by the end of the
millennium. Increasingly, concerns were raised about
the need for financial market regulation and there
has been emerging consensus on at least the need for
controls on short-term capital flows.
By narrowing down the discussion on financial and
debt crises to the problems linked to the failure
of collective action of a diverse range of creditors
in the context of sovereign debt restructuring, the
Fund is shutting out the debate on the underlying
causes of financial crisis and the need for change
in its financial sector and macroeconomic policy framework.
The discussion on the proposed SDRM enables the Fund
to evade the fundamental need to address the underlying
weaknesses in the current international financial
architecture, including the need to regulate capital
flows, to help prevent crises in the first place.
Meanwhile, the evolving debate on the SDRM to address
issues in debt restructuring reveals that even the
long overdue attempts of the Fund to deal with crisis
resolution (within the existing global financial architecture)
are also predisposed.
Any reasonable and just debt-workout framework has
to consider both irresponsible borrowing by the sovereign
as well as irresponsible lending by the creditor community.
While imprudent borrowing and corrupt practices of
governments of borrower countries cannot be legitimized,
equally and more crucially, allowing irresponsible
lenders to get away with virtually no costs to them
from a debt restructuring, only leads to moral hazards
in the sovereign debt market and encourages further
imprudent lending. Past debt management practices
have mostly been unsuccessful predominantly because
creditors have failed to accept the credit risk associated
with their lending decisions and also refused to accept
their share in the responsibility for unsustainable
debt accumulation. A future international debt-workout
mechanism should therefore be centred on a neutral
international arbitration body, which can ensure that
a debt restructuring process will balance the rights
and obligations of both the lender and the borrower.
In order to facilitate this, the creditor community
needs to acknowledge that sovereigns can become insolvent
and that bankrupt sovereigns cannot be made to go
on paying as long as they exist, by allowing some
temporary reprieve in repayments, meanwhile lending
new money or/and capitalizing interest arrears. Apart
from adding on to the existing debt stock and postponing
the inevitable slide into an unsustainable payment
situation at a yet higher level of debt, this approach
does not serve to solve the debt problem. The dismal
record of the multilateral bodies (BWIs) and the creditor
community in handling debt management in the previous
decades has been precisely owing to their refusal
to acknowledge sovereign insolvency and grant adequate
debt relief.
Past debt management has also adequately established
that debt relief which does not include the claims
of the BWIs would not lead to a sustainable debt situation
for indebted countries. Such difficulties in achieving
adequate inter-creditor equity have also inhibited
creditors from accepting proposed restructuring arrangements,
thereby prolonging the process and exacerbating the
costs involved for the debtor, creditors, international
financial institutions and the international economic
community at large.
In fact, as debt analysts have pointed out for years,
the resistance of creditors (including the BWIs) to
grant adequate debt relief where needed, in blatant
neglect of the serious developmental concerns of debtor
countries, has been a patent reflection of the self-interest
of creditors in obtaining continuous interest payments.
Thus, while principal and interest arrears keep accumulating
on paper, indebted countries often end up repaying
amounts several times the original credit taken by
them, at severe costs to their developmental concerns.
This kind of debt management and restructuring, along
with the attached conditionalities and economic policy
prescriptions by the official and multilateral creditors,
have not only failed to restore sustainability to
indebted countries, but have often caused additional
economic damage and human suffering in the countries
concerned. The experiences with the HIPC-I and the
HIPC-II initiatives taken by the creditor community
under the aegis of the BWIs also corroborate this.
Given that debt management led by the creditor community
has been unsuccessful, an international insolvency
procedure to be developed therefore should balance
the considerations of both the creditor community
as well as the debtor country. The creditor community
needs to break loose from the illusion that debts
postponed are debts repaid, and allow for meaningful
debt relief in a debt restructuring agreement, if
and where necessary. At the same time, while the debtor
country undertakes a restructuring of its unsustainable
debt, there should be no attached conditionalities
to impose rapid and severe economic adjustment on
the country.
A key issue is allowing for the sovereignty of the
borrowing country. While the debtor country may well
require to undertake some economic restructuring to
bring the country back onto the path of economic recovery,
it should have the flexibility to decide its policies
and priorities, not only in the longer-term, but also
in the short-term period required for economic stabilization
following a payments crisis. During the stabilization
period and afterwards, this would involve the ability
of the sovereign to introduce or retain capital controls
necessary to protect its financial stability.
An international insolvency procedure should also
explicitly address the requirement of the debtor country
to address the legitimate developmental needs of its
population during the debt restructuring and economic
stabilization phases, and later on as well. This necessarily
means that conditionalities imposing drastic downward
adjustments in the borrower government's fiscal
expenditures cannot be a justifiable part of the legitimate
sovereign debt restructuring programme. Only such
an approach will guarantee that the basic human needs
of the sovereign debtor can be ensured. Accepting
the sovereign nature of nations also means that unlike
in the case of corporate insolvency, a sovereign's
assets are not available to be called upon to meet
its unsustainable external payment obligations.
All these clearly mean that creditor intervention
in the governmental sphere of borrower countries,
such as those that often take place in developing
countries, cannot be a part of a fair and equitable
sovereign debt workout mechanism. In this context,
it has been suggested that it would be useful to consider
an international equivalent of the Chapter 9 of the
US Bankruptcy Code dealing with insolvent US municipalities,
which rules out creditor interventions in a municipality's
governmental sphere as unconstitutional.
In a nutshell, an international insolvency framework
to enable prompt and orderly restructuring of sovereign
debt has to necessarily and most fundamentally balance
the interests of the sovereign debtor and its creditors,
maintain the debtor's developmental needs and
protect the borrowing country's sovereignty.
In the light of past debt restructuring experiences,
this calls for a comprehensive approach allowing symmetrical
treatment of various debts and orientated towards
a truly sustainable debt level for the borrower, via
a neutral mediation or an arbitration process.
However, the ongoing discussions by the IMF on its
proposed international insolvency framework, the SDRM,
seem to have degenerated into attempts by the Fund
to consolidate its own role in global finance and
in the financial affairs of the debtor countries,
and to tilt the balance once again totally in the
interests of creditors. This section provides papers
looking at the debate that is currently in focus.
- IMF's
SDRM Proposals: An Updated Critique of Conceptual
Issues
Smitha Francis
While the IMF's SDRM proposal was originally guided
by the central tenet that the international financial
system lacks a strong legal framework for the predictable,
rapid and equitable restructuring of sovereign debt,
subsequent evolution has seen it reduced to a shadow
of its original intentions, and the balance has
now tilted entirely in favour of the interests of
the creditor community. At another level, the Fund's
discussion has degenerated into attempts to consolidate
its own role in global finance and in the financial
affairs of the debtor countries.
- SDRM:
Debt Restructuring or Liquidation?
C.P. Chandrasekhar, Jayati
Ghosh & Smitha Francis
Even
as the Bretton Woods Institutions are opposed to
reform of the international financial architecture
to prevent crises, they are ardently searching for
ways to deal with the fallout of crises on sovereign
debt. C.P. Chandrasekhar, Jayati Ghosh and Smitha
Francis examine the Sovereign Debt Restructuring
Mechanism (SDRM) advocated by the IMF, discuss the
factors that motivate those advocating it and assess
the likely consequences of its implementation.
- Some
Reflections on SDRM
Yilmaz
Akyuz
Contributing to the ongoing debate on SDRM, the
author argues that the seemingly evolving IMF-proposal
on the international bankruptcy procedure still
does not address the fundamental problems connected
with financial and currency crises.
- The
Final Demise of Unfair Debtor Discrimination? Comments
on Ms Krueger's Speeches
Kunibert Raffer
There is a strong and convincing case to demand
one specific type of insolvency appropriate for
sovereign debtors, a process based on the principles
of the US Chapter 9. However, no creditor must be
allowed to exert decision power, whether openly
or in a hidden way. This paper prepared for the
G-24 Liaison Office also makes the case for immediately
implementing both the Fair and Transparent Arbitration
Process (FTAP) mechanism and some of the IMF's
proposals.
- More
Writings on International Insolvency Procedures
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