The
present paper is a formalization of the
critique of the growth with foreign savings
strategy, advocated as a deliberate strategy
of growth since the 90’s. It argues that
for medium income capital-poor countries,
current account deficits (foreign savings),
financed either by loans or by foreign
direct investments, will not usually increase
the rate of capital accumulation or will
have little impact on it in so far as
current account deficits are, among other
factors, associated with appreciated exchange
rates. Other than in exceptional cases,
foreign savings will only result in increased
consumption and in increased financial
or equity indebtedness without an increase
in the country's ability to invest and
export.
October 23, 2008. |