Recent
estimates of poverty in developing world
by the World Bank have led to an upward
revision of the estimate of poor in the
world by 400 million. These adjustments
are made on the basis of the revision
in PPP estimates as part of the ICP exercise.
Using the same ICP exercise, the ADB claims
even higher estimate of poor for Asia
than the World Bank. A proper examination
of the underlying database and the methodology
for estimating poverty across countries
suggests that even though these estimates
are better than the previous such estimates,
the assumptions behind these adjustments
and the quality of data obtained from
the ICP limit the usefulness of such exercise
for cross-country poverty comparisons.
For India, both these estimates suggest
severe under-estimation in the official
estimates of poverty by the official methodology.
January 5, 2009.
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