Economics
797
International Finance, Open Economy Macroeconomics and
Globalization II
Professor Gerald Epstein
Department of Economics
University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Syllabus
Updates
Syllabus
The first several weeks will cover material on
international financial reform that we did not have
time to cover last semester. The rest of the semester
we will turn to topics in globalization, imperialism,
trade and multinational corporations.
The first of these sections will assess the debate on
the relationship between globalization and inequality.
Then we will turn to a discussion of theories of imperialism
and their applicability to the current world conjuncture.
After that, we will study some basic trade theories,
including neo-classical approaches (Ricardian, Heckscher-Ohlin),
new trade theory and its variations. We will use these
to analyze the debate the causes of the increase in
wage inequality in the industrialized economies, focusing
on the role of international trade and globalization.
After that we will study new approaches to international
trade which emphasize the role of outsourcing and fragmentation,
organized by multinational corporations. This will serve
as a transition to our discussion of foreign direct
investment and multinational corporations and their
roles in the world economy.
Then we will return to some of the debates about neo-liberalism,
trade and development. Is free trade, good for growth
and development. This section will include an analysis
of free trade agreements and the WTO.
Finally, we will finish with a discussion of alternatives
to neo-liberalism and imperialism. Course
Requirements: The
requirements for the course will be as follows:
1. There will be three short, take home exams as we
go along, distributed roughly equally during the semester.
Each exam will be worth 20%.
2. There will be a 25 - 40 page research paper due at
the end of the term worth 40% of the grade. It will
be important to start talking to me early in the semester
about the paper. Readings:
*Starred readings are the most
important. Readings
will be available in one of several ways:
Some readings have been/will be available for purchase.
Most readings will be posted on the web
site.
Some will be available on electronic
reserve (ER).
Some will be available on reserve in the library (LR).
Books from Last Semester:
The following books ordered
last semester will be used this semester:
Dean Baker, Gerald Epstein and Robert Pollin, eds. Globalization
and Progressive Economic Policy. Cambridge: Cambridge
University Press, 1998. (GPEP)
Robert Blecker, Taming Global Finance: Architecture
for Growth and Equity. (Blecker)
Anthony Brewer, Marxist Theories of Imperialism. 2nd
edition. (Brewer)
Robin Broad, ed. Global Backlash; Citizen Initiatives
for a Just World Economy. Lanham, Maryland: Rowman &
Littlefield Publishers, Inc. 2002.
(Broad)
Richard E. Caves, Jeffrey A. Frankel, and Ronald W.
Jones), World Trade and Payments: An Introduction. 9th
Edition. Addison Wesley. (Caves,
Frankel, Jones) Email
and class discussions:
Before each class I will post a series of questions
on the readings to guide your readings. I will also
ask one member of the class to take responsibility for
leading discussion during a portion of each class, partly
based on the questions; that discussion leader can also
post questions and comments before the class.
Topics and Readings:
Weeks I & II: Restructuring
the International Financial System
*Robert Blecker, 1999. Taming Global Finance: A Better
Architecture for Growth and Equity.
*Barry Eichengreen, 2002. Financial Crises and What
to Do about Them.
*Randall Dodd, 2002. "A Primer on Tobin Taxes".
Download
*Randall Dodd, 2002. "New Rules Discussions of
IMF Debt Write-Off Mechanisms". Download
*Yilmaz Akyuz, 2001. "International Financial Reform:
Reforming the Reformers". Download
James Crotty and Gerald Epstein 1996. "In Defense
of Capital Controls" Socialist Register, 1991.
(ER)
Gerald Epstein, Ilene Grabel, and Jomo, K.S. 2003. "Capital
Management Techniques" Download
Robert Pollin, Dean Baker and Marc Schaberg, 2001. "Securities
Taxes for U.S. Financial Markets", PERI Working
Paper, Download
Robert Pollin, "Can Domestic Expansionary Policy
Succeed in a Globally Integrated Environment",
GPEP, Ch. 19.
David Felix, 2002. "Why International Capital Mobility
Should be Curbed and How it Could be Done." Download
Week III: Globalization and
Inequality: What are the Connections?
*Ute Peiper and Lance Taylor, "The Revival of the
Liberal Creed: the IMF, the World Bank, and Inequality
in a Globalized Economy", GPEP,
Ch. 2.
*Branko Milanovic, 2002. "The Two Faces of Globalization:
Against Globalization as We Know It". Download
*Jeffrey G. Williamson. 2002. "Winners and Losers
Over Two Centuries of Globalization", NBER Working
Paper, No. 9161. Download
*Ann E. Harrison, 2002. "Has Globalization Eroded
Labor's Share? Some Cross-Country Evidence".
Download
*Bob Sutcliffe, 2002. "A More or Less Unequal World?
World Income Distribution in the 20th Century".
Download
*Sanjay G. Reddy Thomas W. Pogge, 2002. "How NOT
To Count the Poor". Download
Ishac Diwan, 2001. "Debt As Sweat: Labor Financial
Crisis and The Globalization of Capital". Download
Week IV: Imperialism
*Anthony Brewer, Marxist Theories of Imperialism: A
Critical Survey, New York: Routledge and Kegan Paul,
2nd Edition.
*Prabhat Patnaik, 1995. Whatever Happened to Imperialism
and Other Essays, selected chapters. (ER)
*Prabhat Patnaik, 2002. The Retreat to Unfreedom; Essays
on the Emerging World Order. Selected chapters (ER)
Week V: International Trade
Theory and the Impact of Globalization on Wages and
Inequality
Caves, Frankel and Jones, World Trade and Payments,
9th edition, chs. 2-7, plus all relevant appendices.
Alan V. Deardorff, "Overview of The Stolper Samuelson
Theorem", Ch 2. The Stolper-Samuelson Theorem,
University of Michigan Press. (ER,
LR)
David Howell, "On Skill-Biased Technological Change"
(ER, LR)
Richard B. Freeman, "Are Your Wages Set In Beijing"?
Journal Of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 9, Number 3.
Summer 1995. pp. 15-32. (ER, LR)
Adrian Wood, 1995. "How Trade Hurt Unskilled Workers",
Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 9, No. 3, Summer
1995, pp. 57-80. (ER, LR)
William R. Cline, 1997. Trade and Income Distribution,
Institute for International Economics.
David Kucera and William Milberg. 2002. "Trade
and the Loss of Manufacturing Jobs in the OECD: New
Factor Content Calculations, 1978-1995.
Download Week VI:
Trade and Development Debate
Dani Rodrik and Francesco Rodriguez, 1999. "Trade
Policy and Economic Growth: A Skeptics Guide to the
Cross-National Evidence". NBER Paper, 7081. Download
Dani Rodrik, et. al. 2002. "Institutions Rule:
The Primacy of Institutions Over Geography and Integration
in Economic Development", NBER Paper, 9305. Download
Peter Dorman, 2001. The Free Trade Magic Act. EPI Briefing
Paper Download
Sanjay Reddy, et. al. "A Critique of Kraay and
Dollar". mimeo. Download
Dani Rodrik, Developing Countries Dangerous Obsession
With Globalization. Mimeo. Download
Week VII: Other Approaches
To Trade: New Trade Theory, Absolute Advantage
*Caves, Frankel and Jones, Chs. 8-9.
*Robert Blecker, 1997. "The New Economic Integration:
Structuralist Models of North-South Trade and Investment
Liberalization", Structural Change and Economic
Dynamics 7 (3): 321-45. (ER)
*Robert C. Feenstra and Gordon Hanson, 2001. "Global
Production Sharing and Rising Inequality: A Survey
of Trade and Wages". NBER Paper, No. 8372. Download
*Robert Blecker, 2001. "Financial Globalization,
Exchange Rates and International Trade" PERI
Working Paper. Download
Paul Krugman and A. Venebles, 1995. "Globalization
and the Inequality of Nations", Quarterly Journal
of Economics, 110. pp. 857-880.
*Ralph E. Gomory and William J. Baumol, 2000. Global
Trade and Conflicting National Interests, MIT Press.
(LR)
George E. Johnson and Frank P. Stafford, 1995. "The
Hicks Hypothesis, Globalization and the Distribution
of Real Wages", mimeo. (ER,
LR)
George Johnson and Frank Stafford, 1992. "Models
of Real Wages and International Competition",
mimeo, Department of Economics and University of Michigan.
(ER, LR)
Weeks VIII & IX: Multinational
Corporations and Threat Effects
*James Crotty, Gerald Epstein and Trish Kelly, "Multinational
Corporations in the Neo-Liberal Regime", GPEP,
ch. 5.
Gerald Epstein, 2000. "Threat Effects: A Survey".
PERI Working Paper. Download
*Dani Rodrik, 1998. "Globalisation and Labour,
or: if Globalization is a bowl of Cherries Why are
there so many glum faces around the Table?" in
Richard E. Baldwin, et al. ed. Market Integration,
Regionalism and the Global Economy. Cambridge University
Press (ER)
*Minsik Choi, 2001. "Threat Effect of Foreign
Direct Investment on Labor Union Wage Premium",
PERI Working Paper, No. 27. Download
Matthew Slaughter, 1999. "International Trade
and Labor Demand Elasticities". Download
Sanjay Reddy and Arindrajit Dube, 2000. "Liberalization,
Income Distribution and Political Economy: The Bargaining
Channel and Its Implications". Download
Kate Bronfenbrenner, 1997. "The Effects of Plant
Closing or Threat of Plant Closing on the Right of
Workers to Organize", mimeo, Cornell University.
(LR)
*James Burke and Gerald Epstein, "Threat Effects
and the Internationalization of Production",
in Work & Well-Being in the Age of Finance",
ed. J. Ghosh and C.P.Chandrasekhar. Download
Weeks X & XI: Multinational
Corporations and Development: Theories and Controversy
William Greider, 1999. One World Ready or Not. Simon
and Schuster (LR)
Theodore Moran, 1998. Foreign Direct Investment and
Development, Institute for International Economics.
(LR)
*Jayati Ghosh, 2003. "Exporting Jobs or Watching
Them Disappear; Relocation, Employment and Accumulation
in the World Economy", in Work and Well-Being
in the Age of Finance, pp. 99-119. (ER)
*Gordon Hanson, 2001. Should Developing Countries
Try to Attract FDI, UNCTAD Paper. Download
*Elissa Braunstein and Gerald Epstein, 2002. "How
Much Bargaining Power Do 1.3 Billion Consumers Have?
FDI In China". PERI Working Paper.
*Elissa Braunstein, 2000."Engendering Foreign
Direct Investment: Family Structure, Labor Markets
and International Capital Mobility". World Development.
*James R. Markusen and Keith E. Maskus, 2001. "General
Equilibrium Approaches to the Multinational Firm:
A Review of Theory and Evidence", NBER Paper,
No. 8334. Download
Week XII: Tax Competition,
Public Finance and Capital Mobility
Vito Tanzi, "Globalization, Tax Competition and
the Future of Tax Systems", IMF Working Paper,
December 1996. (ER)
Mihir A. Desai, et al. 2002. Chains of Ownership,
Regional Tax Competition and Foreign Direct Investment",
NBER Paper. Download
John D. Wilson, 1999. "Theories of Tax Competition".
National Tax Journal, June Vol. LII, No. 2. pp. 269-303
(ER)
James Hines, Jr. 1999. "Lessons from Behavioral
Responses To International Taxation". June. Vol
LII. No. 2. pp. 305-323. (ER).
Roger Gordon and James Hines, Jr. 2002. "International
Taxation", NBER Paper. Download
Week XIII: Free Trade Agreements
and The WTO
Readings to come
Weeks XIV: Alternatives
Robin Broad, Backlash, passim.
John Cavanagh, et al. Alternatives to Economic Globalization;
A Better World Is Possible. San Francisco: Barrett-Kohler
Publishers
Elissa Braunstein and Gerald Epstein. An Alternative
Multilateral Agreement on Investment. Download
James Heintz, 2002. "Global Labor Standards:
Their Impact and Implementation". PERI WP no.
46. Download
Robert Pollin, et. al. 2001. "Global Apparel
Production and Sweatshop Labor: Can Raising Retail
Prices Finance Living Wages?" Download
WEEKLY UPDATES
Week II
NEW, Feb 4, 2003: The Paper by Epstein, Grabel and
Jomo on capital controls is now available. Download
1. Here are some questions for Tuesday's class. Of
course, we won't have time to deal with all of these
questions in depth. But they give you an idea of some
of the issues I believe we should take up.
2. I want to remind you that you can get the Eichengreen
and Blecker readings from Chris Evans. PLEASE BE SURE
TO DO THE READING BEFORE CLASS.
See you Tuesday!
Thought/Discussion Questions
for Week II: Restructuring the International Financial
System
1. A big problem in international financial arrangements
is "moral hazard": that if creditors or
borrowers are bailed out, then these groups will not
demonstrate their own self-control, and financial
crises will simply continue.
a. What forms do you think this moral hazard problem
has taken? Has there been moral hazard for debtors,
or only for creditors, or both?
b. Some have argued that the market should simply
be allowed to discipline borrows or lenders: there
should be no bailouts. What do you think about this?
c. What have been other suggestions for dealing with
this problem? What do you think of them?
d. What suggestions would you make the deal with the
moral hazard (bail-out) problem?
2. Many observers have suggested that in order to
reform the international financial system, the IMF
should be abolished. Some of them argue that there
should be no replacement for it. Others argue that
having an institution that carries out some functions
that an institution like the IMF should carry out,
are necessary to make the international financial
system work well. After all, the IMF was created after
the breakdown of the 1920's and 1930's in order to
prevent such a catastrophe from happening again. Many
argue that the IMF should be replaced by one or more
other institutions, e.g. a world central bank, a world
financial regulatory institution, etc. Some of them
argue that the IMF should be reformed, instead of
being abolished.
For all those who believe that one or more international
financial management institutions are necessary, one
of the many difficult questions that arises is the
decision making structure of the institution. Some
argue for complete democracy defined by one country
one vote. Others argue that since this institution
will require financial resources, those countries
giving more resources should have more say, but that
all countries should have some say. Others argue that
since many governments are non-democratic, then there
should be non-governmental representatives as well.
Some argue this is completely impractical.
a. Do you think some such institution of global macro/financial
management is necessary?
b. If so, to do what?
c. How should it be governed?
3. A specific example of the above is the Ann Kruger's
Sovereign Debt Restructuring Mechanism (SDRM). This
raises many issues, including the ones mentioned above.
Assess the usefulness of such a mechanism as the SDRM.
If an institution like the one suggested there is
implemented, how should it be governed?
4. A broad coalition of activists has suggested the
implementation of a Tobin Tax and related securities
transactions taxes.
a. How would a Tobin tax work?
b. What are some of the costs of it?
c. Benefits?
d. Limitations?
5. A Tobin tax is a kind of capital control.
a. What other kinds of capital controls, if any, should
be implemented?
b. Some have argued that such controls would make
it harder for developing countries to attract and
retain needed capital?
c. What is the evidence on this; how would you study
this question?
6. Some progressive economists have argued that what
is needed is more controls on creditor institutions:
private banks, hedge funds, etc. rather than on borrowers.
a. What is the evidence that the problem lies to a
large extent with the lenders?
b. How could this be accomplished? Can you identify
particular policies/schemes that have been suggested?
c. What would be the costs to the debtor countries
of such schemes?
7. Some argue that, rather than capital controls,
or more control, what is really needed is better prudential
regulation. How would you study whether this is correct?
How would determine the relative roles of internal
regulation vs.
8. Some argue that these international schemes are
politically infeasible. The emphasis should be on
insulating the country from the international financial
markets as much as necessary, and pursue more domestic
paths of development. Is this feasible? Is this desirable?
How?
Week IV
Discussion Questions on Mainstream Trade Theory and
The Growth of Income Inequality
1. The Heckscher-Ohlin (H-O) model of international
trade and its related Stolper-Samuelson theorems have
become the central mainstream framework for studying
the impact of international trade on income distribution.
a. What are the key assumptions underlying the standard
H-O model? How realistic are they?
b. What are the central predictions of the HO model?
c. What are the key assumptions underlying the Stolper-Samuelson
theorem?
d. What are the key results of the theorem?
e. In what ways are these results relevant to the
issue of the impact of trade on income distribution?
f. In what ways, if any, are they relevant to the
issue of the impact on foreign direct investment on
income distribution?
2. What does the empirical evidence say about the
validity of the HO and Stolper-Samuelson Model?
3. What stylized facts would a useful theory of trade,
capital mobility and income distribution have to capture
to be relevant to today's world?
4. What are the stylized facts about changes in income
distribution in the U.S. and other rich industrialized
countries in the North in recent years? What is the
mainstream explanation for this evolution? Critique
the mainstream explanation.
5. What, overall, is the empirical evidence on the
determinants of changes in income distribution in
the developed world over the last several decades?
What new research needs to be undertaken to improve
on this research?
Week V
Readings for International Trade Theory and the Impact
of Globalization on Wages and Inequality
*Caves, Frankel and Jones, World Trade and Payments,
9th edition, chs. 2-7, plus all relevant appendices.
*Alan V. Deardorff, "Overview of The Stolper
Samuelson Theorem", Ch 2. The Stolper-Samuelson
Theorem, University of Michigan Press. (ER,
LR)
David Howell, "On Skill-Biased Technological
Change" (ER, LR)
*Richard B. Freeman, "Are Your Wages Set In Beijing"?
Journal Of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 9, Number 3.
Summer 1995. pp. 15-32. (ER,
LR)
Adrian Wood, 1995. "How Trade Hurt Unskilled
Workers", Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol.
9, No. 3, Summer 1995, pp. 57-80.
(ER, LR)
William R. Cline, 1997. Trade and Income Distribution,
Institute for International Economics.
David Kucera and William Milberg. 2002. "Trade
and the Loss of Manufacturing Jobs in the OECD: New
Factor Content Calculations, 1978-1995.
Week VII
Gender, International Trade, Finance and Development
1. I mentioned last week that there is a great deal
of research being done on commodity chains. A good
website for some of this research is: http://www.ids.ac.uk/ids/global/
You can search this site and see that they have many
papers and documents on commodity chain analysis.
Readings for Gender
*Stephanie Seguino and Caren Grown, 2002. "Feminist-Kaleckian
Macroeconomic Policy For Developing Countries",
mimeo. Download Here
Diane Elson, "Gender Awareness in Modeling Structural
Adjustment", World Development, 1995, pp. 1851-1868
(ER)
Nilufer Cagatay, Diane Elson, and Caren Grown,
"Introduction", special issue of World Development
on "Gender and Macroeconomics", Vol 23,
No. 11, pp. 1827-1836. (ER)
*Caren Grown, Diane Elson and Nilufer Cagatay, 2000.
"Introduction" special issue of World Development,
on "Gender and Trade", Vol. 28, No. 7, pp.
1145-1156. Download
*Ajit Singh and Ann Zammit, 2000. "International
Capital Flows: Identifying the Gender Dimension"
World Development, vol 28, No. 7, pp. 1249-1268. Download
*Marzia Fontana, "Modeling The Effects Of Trade
On Women, At Work And At Home: A Comparative Perspective",
International Food Policy Research Institute, TMD
Discussion Paper No. 110, March, 2003. (skim) Download
*Braunstein, Elissa, "Engendering Foreign Direct
Investment: Family Structure, Labor Markets, and International
Capital Mobility." World Development. 2000. (See
syllabus under MNC's)
Maria Floro and Gary Dymski, 2000. "Financial
Crisis, Gender and Power: An Analytical Framework",
World Development. 2000. Download
Helena Hofbauer Balmori, "Gender and Budgets:
Overview Report", BRIDGE, IDS, (skim) http://www.ids.ac.uk/bridge/
Download
Shenggen Fan and Neetha Rao, "Public Spending
in Developing Countries: Trends, Determination and
Impact", International Food Policy Research Institute,
EPTD Discussion Paper, No. 99, February, 2003. Download
Nilufer Cagatay, "Trade, Gender and Poverty"
, UNDP, October, 2001. (ER)
ILO, 2002. "Women and Men in the Informal Economy:
A Statistical Picture", Download
Marilyn Carr and Martha Alter Chen, 2002. "Globalization
and the Informal Economy: How Global Trade and Investment
Impact on the Working Poor", ILO, employment
sector 2002/1. Download
Women's Edge, 2002. "Framework for a Trade Impact
Review" www.womensedge.org
Week XI
NAFTA, FTAA and WTO
1. Here are the Readings for this week. Some of the
readings are book length; of course, you are not expected
to read a whole book. In this case, I have tried to
indicate the parts of the book that are most useful
2. There are two three sets of readings:
1) One set has to do with the WTO
2) One set has to do with NAFTA and FTAA (Free Trade
Association of the Americas)
3) There is a third reading on "aid" and
development policy by the rich countries.
WTO
Third World Network, "The Multilateral Trading
System: A Development Perspective", UNDP, 2001.Executive
Summary; Parts II, III and IV. Skim as much of the
rest as you can. Download
NAFTA
Economic Policy Institute, 2001. "NAFTA at Seven;
Its impact on Workers in All Three Nations",
Download
FTAA
Alanza Social Continental, "The FTAA Unveiled:
A Citizens' Critique of the November 2002 Draft of
the Free Trade Area of the Americas", January
2003. Overview, FTAA Chapter on Agriculture, Investor
Rights, skim the rest. Download
Aliiance Sociale Continetale, "Competing Visions
for the Hemisphere", January 2002. Download
Rich Country Behavior
Nancy Birdsall and David Roodman, Center for Global
Development. "The Commitment to Development Index:
A Scorecard of Rich Country Policies". Download
December 31, 2003.
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