This effort is a basis to articulate a policy
agenda alternative to that of mainstream economics.
The book is available in Spanish (for the time
being) and can be downloaded freely (available
in pdf). The following sections provide
the context, motivation and main themes found
in the text.
In the past few years, mainstream economic thinking
which has dominated the teaching of economics
and economic policy since the second half of
the XXth Century, has been the object of strong
criticism and the subject of a heated debate
involving mainstream and non-mainstream economists
regarding its conceptual and empirical coherence
and validity. The current state of dissatisfaction
with the mainstream has a definite reference
point: the failure of the profession to foresee
any potential imbalance that could result in
a crisis of the magnitude of the Global Financial
Crisis (2007-2009), let alone predict its protracted
effects on output and employment. More importantly,
the majority of economists recommended and hailed
precisely the type of policies that led to the
Global Financial Crisis.
The on-going Euro-Crisis (2009-2015), the virtual
crash in the commodities markets at the end
of 2014 and beginning of 2015, and the generalized
slowdown in growth provide further proof of
the limitations of the dominant paradigm in
economics to take on board the fundamental economic
problems of our time. Following the thought
of John Maynard Keynes and Raúl Prebisch,
these can be summarized as the failure of free
market oriented economies to provide full employment
and the creation of decent jobs as a norm, their
tendency towards the arbitrary distribution
of income and wealth, and their propensity towards
financial fragility and instability.
These problems are not the result of exogenous
factors or external shocks. Contrarily, they
are endogenous to the workings of both developed
and developing economies.
In the case of Latin America and the Caribbean,
these problems are associated to structural
characteristics of Latin America and the Caribbean
that were highlighted more than half a century
ago by Structuralism. Structuralism was developed
and articulated in the 1950s and 1960s following
the thinking of a group of economists mostly
based in ECLAC. Famous structuralists include
Celso Furtado (1920-2004), William Arthur Lewis
(1915-1991), Raúl Prebisch (1901-1986),
Juan Noyola Vázquez (1922-1962); Aníbal
Pinto Santa Cruz (1919-1996); Osvaldo Sunkel
(1929-) and Ignacio Rangel (1914-1994).
Structuralist thought emerged as a response
to the development problems of Latin America
and the Caribbean at the time, and the dissatisfaction
with orthodox diagnoses. Structuralists viewed
underdevelopment as an intrinsic feature of
Latin America and the Caribbean ingrained in
its own social and economic structure and their
views sought to provide an intellectual framework
to understand that reality. In this sense Structuralism
‘was a practice, before being a policy
and a policy prior to becoming a theory.’
The structural obstacles and stumbling blocks
to the economic and social development of included,
among others, the lag in technological progress,
the external restriction, structural heterogeneity,
instability of real variables, the political
economy of dependency and power relations articulated
under the dual concept of center-periphery.
According to C. Furtado, Structuralism is the
only effort of creation of a body of thought
on economic policy that has emerged within the
developing world.
Structuralism did not develop in isolation from
other critical currents of its time. It actually
benefitted from the intellectual exchanges and
influence of some of the major thinkers in economics
such as John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946), Roy
Harrod (1900-1978), Nicholas Kaldor (1908-1986),
Michael Kalecki (1899-1970) and Joseph Aloys
Schumpeter (1883-1950).
Within this group, Kaldor was the closest to
Latin America, Structuralism and ECLAC. In 1956,
upon the recommendation of Raúl Prebisch,
who directed ECLAC at the time, Kaldor prepared
the study, The Economic Problems of Chile focusing
on inequality and defending a Structuralist
interpretation of inflation. Kaldor was not
only impressed by the analysis of inflation
developed at ECLAC by Noyola and Sunkel, but
also developed during his lectures in Chile
and Brazil a series of concepts, some of which,
would dominate his thinking including cumulative
causation, technical progress and the limits
to industrial growth. Later on, in his many
visits to Mexico, he focused on an exchange
rate strategy and framework to promote economic
development.
After period of loss of visibility associated
with the 1980s Debt Crisis and lost decade,
and the rise to prominence of the now defunct
‘Washington Consensus’ and its mantra,
‘stabilize, liberalize and privatize’,
the ideas of Structuralism were recovered and
adapted to the reigning economic conditions
at the time by Neo-Structuralism. Neo-Structuralism
developed from ECLAC’s document Changing
production patterns with social equity: the
prime task of Latin American and Caribbean development
in the 1990s (1990) (http://repositorio.cepal.org/handle/11362/37869?show=full)
largely inspired by Fernando Fajnzylber, which
continues to guide the most recent documents
of ECLAC such as Structural
Change for Equality (2012) and the work
of renown Latin American economists such as
Ricardo Ffrench Davis and José Antonio
Ocampo.
Neo-Structuralism shares the same methodological
principles and views of Structuralism and constitutes
an effort to confront the modern development
problems faced by Latin America and the Caribbean,
including how to deal with the consequences
of greater liberalization in trade and finance,
to overcome productive heterogeneity, and improve
income distribution.
Moreover, Neo-Structuralism sustains, in line
with heterodox thinking, that there is no theoretical
or empirical foundation to argue that free markets
can allocate goods and services in order to
optimize economic and social welfare. Neo-Structuralism
argues that a strong state and government is
essential to improve the capabilities and well
being of a society. Developing countries need
to overcome some of the major endogenous obstacles
to their development including, low and volatile
growth, low productivity, and unequal distribution
of income, through active government efforts
in education, health, redistributive policies
and industrial policy among others.
Both Neo-Structuralism and Structuralism are
open systems. They are not self-contained systems
of thought. They analyze the behaviour of economic
agents and social and economic structures and
their interrelation within a given historical
and evolutionary context. This implies that
there is no complete knowledge of all variables
that are included in the analysis nor of all
their interrelations. The nature of variables
(i.e. exogeneity/endogeneity) can change over
time and the interrelation between agents and
between agents and economic structures are interdependent
and change over time. The open system feature
of Neo-Structuralism and Structuralism, as well
as some of its core features described above,
are shared by heterodox and pluralist approaches
including, Marxist, post-Keynesian, evolutionary
and institutional approaches.
The creation of spaces for dialogue between
Structuralism/Neo-Structuralism and the collaboration
between Structuralism/Neo-Structuralism and
heterodox currents of thought is precisely the
ultimate objective of this book. The book also
stresses how the intellectual collaboration
between these different approaches can lead
to a policy agenda that is an alternative to
that espoused by mainstream economists.
The fifteen essays included in the book are
divided into four sections: the New Realities
and the Regional and Global Level after the
Crisis; Macroeconomics for a New Development;
Productivity and Structural Change, and the
State and the State and Society in the Development
of the XXI Century.
A close reading of these chapters will reveal
the commonalities between the Structuralist/Neo-Structuralist
and heterodox traditions, identify similar points
of views and establish future research agendas.
To be more precise a common research agenda
can be established around seven topics (i) a
methodological approach based on historical
trends and measurement; (ii) the characterization
of the system of economic relations around the
concepts of center and periphery; (iii) the
relation between income distribution, accumulation
and economic growth; (iv) volatility and instability;
(iv) technical progress and innovation; (vi)
the relationship between the short and long-run;
and (vii) the role of the State.
May 8, 2015. |