| Who
pays the Price for Financial Bailouts? |
Jayati
Ghosh  |
|
| The
issue of moral hazard cannot be looked at
only in terms of faceless institutions that
are being rescued with taxpayers’ money.
But it must also deal with the small number
of individuals who were enriched by the
boom, who were able to manipulate government
policies to ensure the creation and prolongation
of what was always a speculative bubble
that would inevitably end. |
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|
A
World of Inequality  |
| Jayati
Ghosh |
|
As
economies slow down, people in the developing
world who did not gain from the boom will
face deteriorating conditions of living.
But now that there is overwhelming evidence
of the failure of the economic model on
which the boom was based, we can think
afresh about how to organise economic
life, both nationally and globally. |
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|
The
End of the Illusion |
| Prabhat
Patnaik |
|
The
neo-liberal illusion of the market being
“efficient” is now over with the threat
of collapse of the US financial system
and the unprecedented upsurge in oil prices.
Both have been the outcome of speculation
and the associated underestimation of
risks, which in turn have been due to
the lack of government intervention and
the globalization of finance. The form
in which the system will recover opens
up new possibilities of praxis. |
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|
The
Global Financial Crisis  |
| Jayati
Ghosh |
|
The
bailout worked out by the US government
to save the financial system is not a
progressive nationalisation but the socialisation
of the risks of capitalists, and one that
is to be borne by taxpayers in the US
and by developing countries. The hugely
expensive gamble, instead of helping the
US government buy its way out of the crisis,
would weaken its position as the dominant
imperial power in future. |
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|
|
No
End to the Global Meltdown |
| C.P.
Chandrasekhar |
|
More
than a year since the sub prime crisis
began, the financial meltdown still persists.
With the Lehman brothers filing for bankruptcy
and Merrill Lynch selling out recently,
most major investment banks seem to be
facing a new set of problems. These are
related to the now-not-so-new sub-prime
crisis and the unwillingness of both the
institutions concerned and the regulators
to properly assess the effects of that
crisis on their financial viability. |
|
|
Innovative
Scamsters |
| C.P.
Chandrasekhar |
|
The
recent emergence of a set of financial
instruments, by the name of ‘auction rate
securities’ or ARS, signifies another
symbol of the malfunctioning global financial
markets. The ARS system apparently follows
a transparent and market efficient principle,
but in reality results in a lowering of
the notional value of securities held
by investors in the absence of an active
market. |
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| |
|
|
| The
World Bank's New Poverty Estimates – Digging
Deeper into a Hole |
| Sanjay
G. Reddy |
|
The
World Bank's new estimates of global poverty,
based on the new benchmark international
poverty line of $1.25 a day 2005 PPP,
still suffer from same problems as the
earlier estimates. The underlying source
of the problems is the lack of a clear
criterion for identifying the poor, and
that basic deficiency remains unaddressed.
The Bank's chosen international poverty
line is still far too low to cover the
cost of purchasing basic necessities,
and the Bank uses inappropriate purchasing
power parities (PPPs) to convert its poverty
line across currencies. |
|
|
| The
Commodity Price Roller Coaster |
| Jayati
Ghosh |
|
Despite
arguments regarding the role of 'fundamentals'
in generating the recent price rises in
oil and in other commodities especially
food, the sheer volatility in these prices
over the recent past indicates the clear
role of speculative forces in commodity
markets which have grown stronger in the
wake of the financial crisis in the US
and have been looking for options to make
profit elsewhere. |
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| |
|
|
| Back
to Economic Growth Basics |
| Jayati
Ghosh |
|
Discussions
about economic growth and how to generate
it are back in fashion among economists,
unfortunately in a period of impending
stagflation. However, interesting is the
fact how growth prescriptions, even from
mainstream quarters, seem to acknowledge
the failure of the conservative policies. |
|
|
| WTO:
One More Failure |
| C.
P. Chandrasekhar |
|
The
collapse of the talks of the Doha Round
on 29th July, 2008 is no big deal since
along the long route of the Doha round,
periodic failure of negotiations is inevitable.
This is not a disaster for advocates of
trade liberalisation either because, in
most countries, actual levels of protection
are much lower than the bound levels WTO
talks about. The point to note is that
the so-called progress in trade liberalisation
notwithstanding, the fundamental asymmetry
of the world trading system remains. |
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| |
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|
| The
Coup D’ Etat |
| Prabhat
Patnaik |
|
The
Indo-US nuclear deal is not an isolated
issue, but a part of a larger process
of attempts at changing the character
of the Indian State to a neo-liberal State
integrated with US imperialism. Given
the objective economic conditions leading
to further shrinkage of the already miniscule
political constituency in favour of "reforms",
such a change in the character of the
Indian State can be effected only through
a coup d'etat as was witnessed on July
22. |
|
|
| The
Global Oil Price Story |
| Jayati
Ghosh |
|
The
straightforward explanations based on
real demand and supply are simply not
useful in understanding the current oil
price hike. Rather, the price for this
very physical commodity, this universal
intermediate, is now determined in the
virtual world. In other words, speculative
forces, operating especially through the
commodity futures markets, are driving
the current oil price surge. |
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|
|
| NAMA:
Developed Countries as the Donors? |
| Malini
Chakravarty |
|
Texts
related to the Non Agricultural Market
Access (NAMA) in the ongoing Doha Round
of WTO negotiations, right from the time
of its inception, have been biased against
the developing country members. This article
traces the development in the various
NAMA texts and tries to bring out the
factors that have come to form the core
of the contention between the developed
and the developing countries. |
|
|
| Global
GDP Growth: A Longer View |
| Jayati
Ghosh & C. P. Chandrasekhar. |
|
Discussions
of GDP growth at both national and international
levels often get carried away by relatively
recent trends, but it is important to
situate recent income growth in the longer
term context. In this article the authors
examine the evidence on GDP global and
regional growth in the second half of
the twentieth century and beyond. |
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| |
|
|
| Idols
of the Market-Place |
| Sumanasiri
Liyanage |
|
This
note follows up the discussion in the
author's previous article on the fallacy
of neoliberal economics in laying out
an effective development strategy for
developing economies. This article tackles
the issue of free trade in particular
and argues that not only does neo-classical
orthodoxy not sit very well with historical
experience in developed countries, it
is theoretically flawed. |
|
|
| The
Dead-End Formula of Neo-Liberal Economics |
| Sumanasiri
Liyanage |
|
This
article argues that given the inherent
ineffectiveness and incorrectness of the
neo liberal policy package in its totality,
which has been forwarded with much vigour
by the international financial institutions,
it is imperative that developing countries
look for other alternatives if they want
a sustained and stable development strategy,
an integral part of which must be protection
for its infant industries. |
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| |
|
|
| Turkey
and the Long Decade with the IMF: 1998-2008 |
| A.
Erinc Yeldan |
|
This
article provides a critical review of
Turkey’s engagement with the IMF over
the past decade which ended recently.
It argues that the end of the stand by
in May 2008 signifies neither autonomy
from the IMF nor a successful graduation
and a completion of the IMF programme.
Present Turkey is characterized by high
debt, speculative growth environment with
jobless patterns with its government institutions
under siege. |
|
|
| Fear
of Foreigners |
| Jayati
Ghosh |
|
There
has been a significant increase in immigration
into Italy in the past decade and a half,
a significant proportion of which is still
“illegal”. The reasons for this rise have
been demographics, institutional factors
as well as government policy. But recently,
in a clear reversal from the past, the
attitude towards illegal immigration has
hardened in the country, with some of
it targeted especially against developing
country immigrants. |
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|
|
| Small
Farmers and the Doha Round: Lessons from
Mexico's NAFTA Experience |
| Mritiunjoy
Mohanty |
|
This
policy brief has been written in the context
of the demand of developing countries,
including India, in the on-going Doha
round of WTO negotiations for policy space
within which protect the livelihood security
of their small and marginal farmers. It
uses Mexican agriculture’s integration
experience under NAFTA to establish that
developing country demands are justified.
|
|
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| Debt
Relief as if Justice Mattered |
| David
Woodward |
|
This
report is the last in a series from New
Economics Foundation designed to stimulate
progress towards a comprehensive and fair
treatment of the crisis of sovereign debt.
With the end of an unprecedented period
of low interest rates now in sight, such
a goal is needed more than ever. We incluse
a short summary of this paper in section. |
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