Ecuador must be one of the most exciting places on
Earth right now, in terms of working towards a new
development paradigm. It shows how much can be achieved
with political will, even in uncertain economic times.
Just 10 years ago, Ecuador was more or less a basket
case, a quintessential "banana republic"
(it happens to be the world's largest exporter of
bananas), characterised by political instability,
inequality, a poorly-performing economy, and the ever-looming
impact of the US on its domestic politics.
In 2000, in response to hyperinflation and balance
of payments problems, the government dollarised the
economy, replacing the sucre with the US currency
as legal tender. This subdued inflation, but it did
nothing to address the core economic problems, and
further constrained the domestic policy space.
A major turning point came with the election of the
economist Rafael
Correa as president. After taking over in January
2007, his government ushered in a series of changes,
based on a new constitution (the country's 20th, approved
in 2008) that was itself mandated by a popular referendum.
A hallmark of the changes that have occurred since
then is that major
policies have first been put through the referendum
process. This has given the government the political
ability to take on major vested interests and powerful
lobbies.
The government is now the most stable in recent times
and will soon become the longest serving in Ecuador's
tumultuous history. The president's approval ratings
are well over 70%. All this is due to the reorientation
of the government's approach, made possible by a constitution
remarkable for its recognition of human rights and
the rights of nature, and its acceptance of plurality
and cultural diversity.
Consider just some economic changes brought about
in the past four years, beginning with the renegotiation
of oil contracts with multinational companies. Ecuador
is an oil exporter, but had benefited relatively little
from this because of the high shares of oil sales
that went to foreign oil companies. A new law in July
2010 dramatically changed the terms, increasing the
government's share from 13% to 87% of gross oil revenues.
Seven of the 16 foreign oil companies decided to pull
out, and their fields were taken over by state-run
companies. But the others stayed on and, as a result,
state revenues increased by $870m (£563m) in
2011.
Second, and possibly even more impressively, the government
managed a dramatic increase in direct tax receipts.
In fact, this has been even more important in revenue
terms than oil receipts. Direct taxes (mainly corporation
taxes) increased from around 35% of total taxes in
2006 to more than 40% in 2011. This was largely because
of better enforcement, since the nexus between big
business and the public tax administration was broken.
Third, these increased government revenues were put
to good use in infrastructure investment and social
spending. Ecuador now has the highest proportion of
public investment to GDP (10%) in Latin America and
the Caribbean. In addition, social spending has doubled
since 2006. This has enabled real progress towards
the constitutional goals of free education at all
levels, and access to free healthcare for all citizens.
Significant increases in public housing have followed
the constitution's affirmation of the right of all
citizens to dignified housing with proper amenities.
There are numerous other measures: expanding direct
public employment; increasing minimum wages and legally
enforcing social security provision for all workers;
diversifying the economy to reduce dependence on oil
exports, and diversifying trading partners to reduce
dependence on the US; enlarging public banking operations
to reach more small and medium entrepreneurs; auditing
external debt to reduce debt service payments; and
abandoning unfair bilateral investment agreements.
Other efforts include reform of the justice system.
One exciting recent initiative is the Yasuní-ITT
biosphere reserve, perhaps the world's first attempt
to avoid greenhouse emissions by leaving oil underground.
This not only protects the extraordinary biodiversity
of the area but also the habitats of its indigenous
peoples. The scheme proposes to use ecotourism to
make human activity compatible with nature.
All this may sound too good to be true, and certainly
the process of transformation has only just begun.
There are bound to be conflicts with those whose profits
and power are threatened, as well as other hurdles
along the way. But for those who believe that we are
not condemned to the gloomy status quo, and that societies
can do things differently, what is happening in Ecuador
provides inspiration and even guidance. The rest of
the world has much to learn from this ongoing radical
experiment.
*This article was originally
published in The Guardian
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2012/jan/19/ecuador-radical-exciting-place
January
20, 2012.
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