The
the author argues that the ultimate cause
of the current global financial crisis
is to be found in the deeply flawed institutions
and practices of what is often referred
to as the New Financial Architecture (NFA)
– a globally integrated system of giant
bank conglomerates and the so-called 'shadow
banking system' of investment banks, hedge
funds and bank-created Special Investment
Vehicles. The NFA has generated a series
of ever-bigger financial crises that have
been met by larger and larger government
bailouts. The issues discussed in this
paper are: 1) the theoretical foundation
of the NFA – the theory of efficient capital
markets – is very weak and the celebratory
narrative of the NFA accepted by regulators
is seriously misleading; 2) widespread
perverse incentives embedded in the NFA
generated excessive risk-taking throughout
financial markets; 3) mortgage-backed
securities central to the boom were so
complex and nontransparent that they could
not possibly be priced correctly; their
prices were bound to collapse once the
excessive optimism of the boom faded;
4) contrary to the narrative, excessive
risk built up in giant banks during the
boom; and 5) the NFA generated high leverage
and high systemic risk, with channels
of contagion that transmitted problems
in the US subprime mortgage market around
the world.
October 24, 2008. |
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