At
first sight no two persons could have been more dissimilar.
One was a Cambridge don, with more than one foot in
the British government; a supporter of the Liberal
Party, staunchly opposed to the Bolshevik Revolution;
an aesthete and a member of the Bloomsbury Group;
a life peer in imperial Britain; and a solid, if sensitive,
member of the British establishment. The other was
a Russian revolutionary, spending years in exile in
acute penury, immersed in bitter conflicts among the
emigres, until suddenly confronted with a revolutionary
uprising whose strivings and possibilities he comprehended
with such clarity that he came to lead it, facing
a civil war, a typhus epidemic, and an assassination
attempt that ultimately claimed his life. The secure
tranquility of the life of the one contrasted sharply
with the tempestuous violence that continuously haunted
the life of the other. What could these two have in
common?
For a start each felt a deep intellectual respect
for the other, despite their political differences.
In his report to the Second Congress of the Communist
International, having called Keynes ''a British bourgeois
pacifist'', ''a petit bourgeois philistine'', and ''an
implacable enemy of Bolshevism'', Lenin went on to
base his entire thesis about why conditions were ripe
for a world revolution on Keynes' analysis in The
Economic Consequences of the Peace. He even paid Keynes
the compliment that ''nobody had written about the
condition of capitalism better than Keynes''. Keynes
on his part not only referred in several places to
Lenin's ''brilliance'', but, in this same book, said
apropos of inflation: ''Lenin is said to have declared
that the best way to destroy the capitalist system
is to debauch the currency; ..Lenin was certainly
right.''
But mutual intellectual respect among bitter adversaries
is neither unusual nor particularly remarkable. What
is really common to both these thinkers is their belief
that the hegemony of finance in the period of maturity
of capitalism had brought about a denouement where
it became impossible for the system to go on as before.
Of course each had his own understanding of why finance
had made capitalism impossible, and each had his own
reading of where to go from there. But the belief
that a sheer continuity of the existing order was
no longer possible was common to both.
Keynes saw the hegemony of finance as saddling capitalism
with such extraordinarily high levels of unemployment
that people, he feared, would not for long tolerate
such an inhumane system. Under this hegemony, speculation
was no longer a mere bubble on a steady stream of
enterprise, but became a torrent that buffeted enterprise
around. This became particularly so after the prop
that had sustained nineteenth century capitalism,
namely the pushing of the frontier, had reached its
limits. Not only did employment get determined largely
by the whims and caprices of speculators, but in the
absence of this prop would remain much higher than
before, of which the Great Depression was a manifestation.
He wanted the system to become more humane in order
to survive the challenge of socialism. And this it
could do by ensuring, through systematic State intervention
in demand management, that the level of employment
was made independent of the whims and caprices of
financial speculators.
Lenin by contrast saw finance capital as striving
everywhere for domination and for the acquisition
of ''economic territory'' at the expense of rivals.
Hence the rivalry between different ''national'' finance
capitals (belonging to big ''nations''), each backed
by ''its'' State, would henceforth take the form of
bloody inter-imperialist wars, of which the first
world war was a manifestation. Escape from this predicament
was possible only by overthrowing the entire system
of finance-dominated capitalism and by ushering in
socialism.
The turn of events was such that the ideas of both
these thinkers were tried out in practice, a fate
denied to most and another element that is common
to both. Keynes' proposal for State intervention in
demand management in capitalist economies had few
takers in the beginning, a fact that allowed the Great
Depression to persist outside of the fascist countries
right until the eve of the war when military preparations
against the threat of fascism finally pulled up levels
of employment and activity. But in the post-war period,
with the balance of class strength shifting in favour
of the working class across the advanced capitalist
world, of which the emergence of social democracy
was a manifestation, State intervention in demand
management got institutionalized, producing the so-called
''Golden Age of capitalism''. And as regards Lenin,
the response generated by his call for the overthrow
of capitalism, the Bolshevik Revolution and the formation
of the Communist International, the struggle of the
Soviet Union against fascism, its contribution to
post-war decolonization and the spread of socialism,
constitute together the epic saga of the twentieth
century.
But, again by an irony that unites both these thinkers,
the historical experiments unleashed by them, despite
remarkable early promise, could not reach successful
fruition. The process of globalization of finance
made the nation-State that was supposed to override
the whims and caprices of finance, subservient precisely
to these very whims and caprices for fear of capital
flight; as a result we have the current bizarre spectacle
of capitalist countries enacting one after another
''austerity measures'' in the midst of a recession,
which will only accentuate the recession. Keynes would
be turning in his grave at this absurd course of events.
Likewise the Soviet Union founded under Lenin's leadership
no longer exists; Communist Parties, barring a few,
have dwindled into insignificance; the socialist credentials
of China and Vietnam are barely visible and have to
be established by the committed few through elaborate
theoretical and statistical exercises; and a question
mark hovers over the fate of Cuba, buffeted by imperialism.
Those who invoke either Keynes or Lenin today are
few and far between.
Does this mean then that the projects of both Keynes
and Lenin are equally passé? The answer is
no, and this constitutes the big contrast between
the two. Because Lenin's project was grand, nothing
short of bringing about a wholly new world order,
the like of which mankind had only dreamt of but never
seen, and that too against the bitterest possible
opposition from the propertied classes, he was acutely
aware of the prospects of the failure of his particular
experiment. In fact after Soviet power had lasted
three months, he had remarked gleefully: ''we have
lasted longer than the Paris Commune!'' Because of
the grandeur of his project the possibility of the
failure of his particular experiment t was anticipated
by Lenin. But not so with Keynes.
Since his objective was to defend the system of private
property against socialism, he not only expected no
systematic opposition from the propertied classes,
but even attributed whatever opposition he actually
encountered from them to mere intellectual failure
on their part. After all, if demand management by
the State increased the level of activity and employment
in the economy, then that would benefit both the workers
(through larger employment) and the capitalists (through
larger profits). So the predicament of late capitalism
was one from which, if one had the correct intellectual
comprehension, one could improve everybody's condition.
What Keynes did not see is that State intervention
in capitalism is something which sets off a dialectic
of its own that ultimately subverts the domination
of capital over labour. Not that Great Depression-levels
of mass unemployment are necessary for capitalism
but the elimination of such levels of mass unemployment
through State intervention undermines the social legitimacy
of the system. The setback to Lenin's project would
not have surprised Lenin; the setback to Keynes' would
have surprised Keynes. Lenin's project will be revived,
but not Keynes', except as a staging post in the march
towards Lenin's goal.
* This article was published
in the Telegraph, 14 April, 2011.
April
15, 2011.
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